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Modelon AB (MODEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 142M SEK

Pricekr 10.10
Fair Valuekr 10.96
Upside+8.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 8.22 – kr 13.70

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Modelon AB (MODEL) currently trades at kr 10.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.96 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Modelon AB (publ) provides systems modeling and simulation software solutions in Sweden and internationally. Its flagship product is Modelon Impact, a cloud-native system simulation software platform with a browser-based interface, and models and components for various applications. The company also offers Modelon Library Suite, a suite of libraries for physical system modeling; and FMI Toolbox for MATLAB/Simulink that supports workflows in control system development and system integration for virtual prototyping. In addition, it provides consulting and training services. The company serves automotive, aerospace, energy and power, HVAC and refrigeration, industrial equipment, and academia and research industries. Modelon AB (publ) was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Modelon AB (MODEL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 10.96 versus a price of kr 10.10 — about +9% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MODEL?
Our 21-model fair value for Modelon AB is kr 10.96 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 10.10.
What is the quality score of MODEL?
Modelon AB has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.