SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. stock ₹18.20, price ₹31.63, upside -42.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.78 – ₹393.65 · fair‑value band ₹13.65 – ₹19.69 · the ₹31.63 price screens above the ₹18.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
Follow SWADESHI POLYTEX in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether SWADESHI POLYTEX is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL) currently trades at ₹31.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹18.20, 42.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ₹13.65 (bear) to ₹19.69 (bull), the price of ₹31.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. reported revenue of ₹138K in FY2026 versus ₹362M in FY2022, a compound −86.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹41.8M in FY2026, compounding −36.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $13.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 29.3 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.08 · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 47.5% · Operating margin −26,363% · Revenue (TTM) ₹108K · EPS growth (YoY) +4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −42%, SWADPOL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹13.65Fair Value ₹18.20Bull₹19.69
Price ₹31.63 · Upside -42.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.6007 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−96.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−93.2%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−62.5%
’19
’20
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.77% → −21,026%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 50.3%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 23 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−42.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)29.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.07× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 1
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹18.20 versus a price of ₹31.63, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SWADPOL?
Our model-based fair value for SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is ₹18.20 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹31.63.
What is the quality score of SWADPOL?
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹18.20 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹13.65, optimistic scenario ₹19.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹18.20, about −42% upside versus a price of ₹31.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹13.65, optimistic scenario ₹19.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹108K (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. it is ₹18.20 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ₹31.63. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, SWADPOL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹31.63, fair value ₹18.20, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWADPOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹31.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹18.20). For SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. the two are ₹13.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. worth?
The market values SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. at about ₹1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ₹31.63; our models calculate a fair value of ₹18.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWADPOL?
Our models span a range for SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD.: cautious scenario ₹13.65, base ₹18.20, optimistic ₹19.69 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ₹31.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWADPOL?
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.3 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹18.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 3.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWADPOL from its 52-week high?
SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. trades at ₹31.63, about 50% below its 52-week high of ₹62.88 and 14% above the low of ₹27.80 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹18.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD.?
From the same area (Financial) we also value BRRL, MODIS, SHRADDHA, HAZOOR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ₹31.63, calculated fair value ₹18.20 (−42%), Quality Score 31/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWADPOL calculated?
We run SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹18.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ₹31.63. Our model-based fair value is ₹18.20, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹19.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
The market capitalisation of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is ₹1.2B (≈ $13.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
Earnings per share at SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. are ₹1.08 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is 47.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
The operating margin of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is −26,363% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL)?
Earnings per share at SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. are growing +4.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL) generate?
The free cash flow of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is −₹66.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. (SWADPOL) carry?
The net debt of SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. is ₹8.5M (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. in the live analysis
One click puts SWADESHI POLYTEX LTD. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 4, 2026