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Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Blue Moon Zinc Corp stock C$0.61, price C$5.39, that is 88.7% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA09570Q1037

BM Blue Moon Zinc Corp logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Blue Moon Zinc Corp

MOON · V
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value C$0.6100 · Strongly overvalued (−88.7%)
Quality 28/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$11.59 C$0.3000 Fair Value C$0.6100 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.3000 – C$11.59 · fair‑value band C$0.4000 – C$0.7600 · the C$5.39 price screens above the C$0.6100 fair value. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the United States. The company explores for zinc, silver, gold, lead, germanium, gallium, and copper deposits.

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Its flagship project is the 100% owned the Nussir project located at the Finnmark county in northern Norway. The company was formerly known as Blue Moon Zinc Corp. and changed its name to Blue Moon Metals Inc. in April 2021.

Blue Moon Metals Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON) currently trades at C$5.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.6100, 88.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.4000 (bear) to C$0.7600 (bull), the price of C$5.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Blue Moon Zinc Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$37.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$567M (≈ $405M) Small · EPS (TTM) C$−1.13 · Return on equity −32.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −39.4% · Free cash flow −C$31.8M · Net cash C$369K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −89%, MOON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.4000 Fair Value C$0.6100 Bull C$0.7600
Price C$5.39 · Downside -88.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.4000 C$0.6100 C$0.7600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.4000 C$0.6100 C$0.7600 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 20
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 99
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 35
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 56
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MOON screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 364 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥29.07 ¥32.43 +12% vs MOON
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 55.65 SAR 60.39 SAR +9% vs MOON
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹518.00 ₹556.38 +7% vs MOON
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥30.31 ¥25.57 −16% vs MOON
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹246.00 ₹194.64 −21% vs MOON
Korea Zinc Company 010130 876,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −26% vs MOON
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥16.10 ¥11.93 −26% vs MOON
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥33.81 ¥19.72 −42% vs MOON
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.32 ¥6.99 −48% vs MOON
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$9.00 C$4.43 −51% vs MOON

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Blue Moon Zinc Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blue Moon Zinc Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOON.V

Frequently asked questions

Is Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.6100 versus a price of C$5.39, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOON?
Our model-based fair value for Blue Moon Zinc Corp is C$0.6100 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$5.39.
What is the quality score of MOON?
Blue Moon Zinc Corp has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.6100 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.4000, optimistic scenario C$0.7600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blue Moon Zinc Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.6100, about 89% lower versus a price of C$5.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.4000, optimistic scenario C$0.7600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blue Moon Zinc Corp it is C$0.6100 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of C$5.39. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blue Moon Zinc Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, MOON trades above its calculated fair value: price C$5.39, fair value C$0.6100, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$5.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.6100). For Blue Moon Zinc Corp the two are C$4.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blue Moon Zinc Corp worth?
The market values Blue Moon Zinc Corp at about C$567M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is C$5.39; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.6100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOON?
Our models span a range for Blue Moon Zinc Corp: cautious scenario C$0.4000, base C$0.6100, optimistic C$0.7600 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price C$5.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blue Moon Zinc Corp (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −32.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOON from its 52-week high?
Blue Moon Zinc Corp trades at C$5.39, about 53% below its 52-week high of C$11.59 and 56% above the low of C$3.46 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.6100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blue Moon Zinc Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blue Moon Zinc Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price C$5.39, calculated fair value C$0.6100 (−89%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOON calculated?
We run Blue Moon Zinc Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.6100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Blue Moon Zinc Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was C$5.39. Our model-based fair value is C$0.6100, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blue Moon Zinc Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.7600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.4000 to C$0.7600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Blue Moon Zinc Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
The market capitalisation of Blue Moon Zinc Corp is C$567M (≈ $405M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
Earnings per share at Blue Moon Zinc Corp are C$−1.13. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blue Moon Zinc Corp is −32.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blue Moon Zinc Corp is −39.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON) generate?
The free cash flow of Blue Moon Zinc Corp is −C$31.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Blue Moon Zinc Corp (MOON) hold?
Blue Moon Zinc Corp holds more cash than debt, C$369K net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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