The Mosaic Company (MOSC34) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · BR · Market cap R$34.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$17.20 – R$33.66 · fair‑value band R$3.61 – R$4.82 · the R$18.99 price screens above the R$4.82 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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The Mosaic Company (MOSC34) currently trades at R$18.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$4.82, implying the stock looks roughly 74.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Mosaic Company generated revenue of R$12.4B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at R$4.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$3.61 (bear case) to R$4.82 (bull case); at R$18.99, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at -75%, MOSC34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, as well as concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials, a value-added ammoniated phosphate product. It also mines, processes, and sells potash to crop nutrient manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and to customers for industrial use; and owns and operates mines, chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses, which produce and sell concentrated phosphate and potash-based crop nutrients, and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Mosaic Company reported revenue of R$12.1B in FY2025 versus R$12.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$541M in FY2025, compounding −24.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Mosaic (MOS) Could Be 14% Undervalued As Earnings Near
- Mosaic (MOS) Stock Could Be 43% Undervalued Despite Fertilizer Production Push
- MOSAIC ANNOUNCES SECOND QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RESULTS DATES
- US Puts $500 Million Behind Fertilizer Production Push
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $77.46 | $39.29 | -49% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | $62.25 | $80.29 | +29% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥29.03 | ¥21.15 | -27% |
| CF Industries Holdings C1FI34 | R$627.77 | R$947.15 | +51% |
| Yara International ASA YRAIF | $48.01 | $68.66 | +43% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥29.60 | ¥36.70 | +24% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥44.31 | ¥38.01 | -14% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹1,797 | ₹1,414 | -21% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹637.45 | ₹894.78 | +40% |
| PI Industries Limited PIIND | ₹2,718 | ₹971.78 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.