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Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited stock THB 1.29, price THB 0.91, upside +41.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical TH

MM Mother Marketing Public Company Limited logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Mother Marketing Public Company Limited

MOTHER · BK
Undervalued, but sideways

The stock costs 29% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 1.29 THB · Undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Quality 52/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +6.2 %/yr in THB)
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin (TTM)
3.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Profit last quarter 37% below a year ago.
Narrow moat 36/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.56 THB 0.6304 THB Fair Value 1.29 THB Feb 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range 0.6304 THB – 1.56 THB · fair‑value band 0.7800 THB – 1.94 THB · the 0.9100 THB price screens below the 1.29 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Mother Marketing Public Company Limited engages in the retail and wholesale business of consumer products in Thailand. It distributes its products under the Mother Supermarket and Mother Marche stores, as well as through distribution centers and online.

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Mother Marketing Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Krabi, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) currently trades at 0.9100 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.29 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 29% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1.82 THB per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.9100 THB price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.5600 THB, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.7800 THB (bear) to 1.94 THB (bull), the price of 0.9100 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Mother Marketing Public Company Limited reported revenue of 1.4B THB in FY2025 versus 1.2B THB in FY2022, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 24.0M THB in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 260M THB (≈ $7.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) 0.0900 THB · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% (4-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 42%, MOTHER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7800 THB Fair Value 1.29 THB Bull 1.94 THB
Price 0.9100 THB · Upside +41.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0480 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7800 THB 78
Growth DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5600 THB 0.7200 THB 77
Owner Earnings 0.2500 THB 0.3300 THB 0.4300 THB 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7800 THB 78
Owner Earnings 0.2500 THB 0.3300 THB 0.4300 THB 75
5Y Revenue Exit 0.7800 THB 1.29 THB 1.94 THB 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.16 THB 1.98 THB 2.95 THB 71
5Y P/E Exit 0.9300 THB 1.57 THB 2.23 THB 67
10Y Revenue Exit 0.6000 THB 0.9900 THB 1.52 THB 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.8400 THB 1.42 THB 2.21 THB 64
10Y P/E Exit 0.7100 THB 1.16 THB 1.72 THB 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.5700 THB 1.75 THB 2.32 THB 62
Lynch FV 0.3800 THB 0.5400 THB 0.7000 THB 58
PEG = 1.0 0.3800 THB 0.5400 THB 0.7000 THB 55
EPV 0.7500 THB 0.8400 THB 0.9100 THB 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.39 THB 1.85 THB 2.31 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.07 THB 1.43 THB 1.79 THB 58
P/B Multiple 2.43 THB 3.23 THB 4.04 THB 55
EV/EBIT 1.33 THB 1.78 THB 2.24 THB 66
EV/EBITDA 1.80 THB 2.41 THB 3.01 THB 67
EV/Revenue 1.01 THB 1.45 THB 1.89 THB 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4600 THB 0.6200 THB 0.9200 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5600 THB 0.7200 THB 77
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.7400 THB 0.7800 THB 0.8700 THB 73
ROIC Compounder 0.7500 THB 0.8400 THB 0.9100 THB 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.13 THB 1.62 THB 2.11 THB 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 52
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 23
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 59
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 63
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 50% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.7% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 203 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +41.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 38.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)89 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)75 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $140.82 $201.62 +43% vs MOTHER
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$83.20 C$106.00 +27% vs MOTHER
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $644.76 $650.56 +1% vs MOTHER
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.35 $36.33 +0% vs MOTHER
Best Buy Co BBY $99.63 $94.70 −5% vs MOTHER
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥53.39 ¥48.19 −10% vs MOTHER
Five Below, Inc FIVE $240.30 $184.99 −23% vs MOTHER
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $254.06 $164.11 −35% vs MOTHER
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $687.64 $405.93 −41% vs MOTHER
GameStop Corp GME $25.12 $11.87 −53% vs MOTHER

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mother Marketing Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOTHER

Frequently asked questions

Is Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.29 THB versus a price of 0.9100 THB, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOTHER?
Our model-based fair value for Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 1.29 THB (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.9100 THB.
What is the quality score of MOTHER?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.29 THB (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7800 THB, optimistic scenario 1.94 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mother Marketing Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.29 THB, about +42% upside versus a price of 0.9100 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.7800 THB, optimistic scenario 1.94 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Mother Marketing Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 3.74% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited pays a dividend of 0.034 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.7%. The last ex-dividend date was May 5, 2026. The payout ratio is 37.8% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.70 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mother Marketing Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +27.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +6.3 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MOTHER use?
Our models discount Mother Marketing Public Company Limited at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mother Marketing Public Company Limited that is +27.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited grew +6.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (+27.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.62 %: that much free cash flow Mother Marketing Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mother Marketing Public Company Limited it is 1.29 THB per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 0.9100 THB. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Mother Marketing Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, MOTHER trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.9100 THB, fair value 1.29 THB, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOTHER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.9100 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.29 THB). For Mother Marketing Public Company Limited the two are 0.3800 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mother Marketing Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Mother Marketing Public Company Limited at about 260M THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.9100 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.29 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOTHER?
Our models span a range for Mother Marketing Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.7800 THB, base 1.29 THB, optimistic 1.94 THB per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 0.9100 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOTHER?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.29 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOTHER from its 52-week high?
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited trades at 0.9100 THB, about 28% below its 52-week high of 1.27 THB and 3% above the low of 0.8800 THB (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.29 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mother Marketing Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mother Marketing Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 0.9100 THB, calculated fair value 1.29 THB (+42%), Quality Score 52/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOTHER calculated?
We run Mother Marketing Public Company Limited through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1.29 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Mother Marketing Public Company Limited currently trades 29% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 0.9100 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.29 THB, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mother Marketing Public Company Limited right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (0.7800 THB to 1.94 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The market capitalisation of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 260M THB (≈ $7.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Earnings per share at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited are 0.0900 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The dividend yield of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 3.7% (payout 37.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The net margin of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 5.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
The operating margin of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Revenue at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER)?
Earnings per share at Mother Marketing Public Company Limited are growing −37.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mother Marketing Public Company Limited (MOTHER) carry?
The net debt of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited is 5.1M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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