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Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mega Matrix Inc stock $3.95, price $1.50, upside +163.3%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services US · Based in Singapore · ISIN KYG6005C1087

MM Mega Matrix Inc logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Mega Matrix Inc

MPU · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 62% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $3.95 · Strongly undervalued (62%)
Low debt
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 74% above the price ($2.61).
Quality 46/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +287.5 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Loss-making · -168.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$261.03 $1.50 Fair Value $3.95 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.50 – $261.03 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $4.94 · the $1.50 price screens below the $3.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Mega Matrix Inc. operates streaming platform in vertical screen entertainment in the United States, Canada, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.

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Its FlexTV is a short drama streaming platform that produces English, Japanese, and Thai dramas that also translated into various languages for its users across various parts of Europe, America, and Southeast Asia.

The company also acquires third party content licenses, which it then translates and distributes on its FlexTV platform; and provides online advertising services. Further, it produces films. Mega Matrix Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) currently trades at $1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.95, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $2.61 (bear) to $4.94 (bull), the price of $1.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.

Mega Matrix Inc reported revenue of $26.1M in FY2025 versus $6.3M in FY2021, a compound +42.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.8M Micro · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $−13.65 · Net margin −131% · Return on equity −318% · Return on assets (EBIT) −59.6% · Operating margin −60.9% · Revenue (TTM) $21.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 94% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 163%, MPU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.61 Fair Value $3.95 Bull $4.94
Price $1.50 · Upside +163.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $2.61 $3.95 $4.94 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.61 $3.95 $4.94 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 35
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+287.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−101.6% (2021) → −110.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 227 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +132.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −152.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −168.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −60.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −25.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.32× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Fox Corporation FOX $57.43 $65.92 +15% vs MPU
Netflix, Inc NFLX $62.52 $68.77 +10% vs MPU
Universal Music Group UMG €15.84 €17.42 +10% vs MPU
Formula One Group FWONK $88.77 $97.65 +10% vs MPU
The Walt Disney Company DIS $110.91 $101.07 −9% vs MPU
News Corporation NWS $32.76 $17.05 −48% vs MPU
Roku, Inc ROKU $156.33 $71.66 −54% vs MPU
TKO Group TKO $171.23 $69.66 −59% vs MPU
Warner Music Group WMG $30.31 $10.61 −65% vs MPU
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $172.58 $48.10 −72% vs MPU

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Mega Matrix Inc · Fair Value
$3.95 +62%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mega Matrix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPU

Frequently asked questions

Is Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.95 versus a price of $1.50, about +163% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MPU?
Our model-based fair value for Mega Matrix Inc is $3.95 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.50.
What is the quality score of MPU?
Mega Matrix Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.95 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.61, optimistic scenario $4.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mega Matrix Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.95, about +163% upside versus a price of $1.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.61, optimistic scenario $4.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Mega Matrix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mega Matrix Inc it is $3.95 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $1.50. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mega Matrix Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, MPU trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.50, fair value $3.95, a gap of about +163% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.95). For Mega Matrix Inc the two are $2.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mega Matrix Inc worth?
The market values Mega Matrix Inc at about $5.8M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $1.50; our models calculate a fair value of $3.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPU?
Our models span a range for Mega Matrix Inc: cautious scenario $2.61, base $3.95, optimistic $4.94 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $1.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mega Matrix Inc (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −318.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPU from its 52-week high?
Mega Matrix Inc trades at $1.50, about 94% below its 52-week high of $26.80 and at the low of $1.50 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mega Matrix Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, Universal Music Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mega Matrix Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $1.50, calculated fair value $3.95 (+163%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPU calculated?
We run Mega Matrix Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Mega Matrix Inc currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $1.50. Our model-based fair value is $3.95, about +163% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mega Matrix Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($2.61 to $4.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Mega Matrix Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The market capitalisation of Mega Matrix Inc is $5.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mega Matrix Inc is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Earnings per share at Mega Matrix Inc are $−13.65. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The net margin of Mega Matrix Inc is −131% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mega Matrix Inc is −318% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mega Matrix Inc is −59.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
The operating margin of Mega Matrix Inc is −60.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mega Matrix Inc (MPU)?
Revenue at Mega Matrix Inc is growing −25.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +288%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) generate?
The free cash flow of Mega Matrix Inc is −$9.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) hold?
Mega Matrix Inc holds more cash than debt, $7.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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