Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $14.2M
Mega Matrix Inc
MPU · US
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −14.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1105 to $0.2125) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2000 – $13.05 · fair‑value band $0.1105 – $0.2125 · the $0.2000 price screens above the $0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $26.1M. Revenue declined 49.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1105 (bear case) to $0.2125 (bull case); at $0.2000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -15%, MPU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mega Matrix Inc. operates streaming platform in vertical screen entertainment in the United States, Canada, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.
Full company description
Mega Matrix Inc. operates streaming platform in vertical screen entertainment in the United States, Canada, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Its FlexTV is a short drama streaming platform that produces English, Japanese, and Thai dramas that also translated into various languages for its users across various parts of Europe, America, and Southeast Asia. The company also acquires third party content licenses, which it then translates and distributes on its FlexTV platform; and provides online advertising services. Further, it produces films. Mega Matrix Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mega Matrix Inc reported revenue of $26.1M in FY2025 versus $6.3M in FY2021, a compound +42.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.3M in FY2025.
MPU screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 268 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.44 | C$2.82 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 39,950 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +106% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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