MPX Logistics International (MPXL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what MPX Logistics International is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT MPX Logistics International Tbk engages in the trading and transportation businesses in Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Material sales, Expedition services, and Heavy equipment.
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PT MPX Logistics International Tbk engages in the trading and transportation businesses in Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Material sales, Expedition services, and Heavy equipment. The company also trades in cement, lime, sand, and stone, as well as transports and distributes cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, fly ash, and bottom ash. In addition, it engages in motorized transportation for general and special goods, such as clinkers, coal, limestone, steel slag, stones, and bulk lime; car repairing activities; and retail trade-in car parts and accessories; and domestic port water sea, ocean, and sea freight activities for goods, as well as rents construction equipment. PT MPX Logistics International Tbk was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Bandar Lampung, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
MPX Logistics International (MPXL) currently trades at 169.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 363.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 29.73 IDR per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 169.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.05 IDR, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 24.93 IDR (bear) to 50.26 IDR (bull), the price of 169.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MPX Logistics International reported revenue of 127B IDR in FY2025 versus 117B IDR in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −8.6B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 338B IDR (≈ $33.8M) · P/S ratio 1.92 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −6.8% · Return on equity −7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% · Operating margin 13.6% · Revenue (TTM) 143B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −78%, MPXL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 24.93 IDRFair Value 36.50 IDRBull 50.26 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.8% (2022) → 2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare MPX Logistics International with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 48 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth55% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA1.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)14· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MPX Logistics International Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPXL
Frequently asked questions
Is MPX Logistics International (MPXL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 36.50 IDR versus a price of 169.00 IDR, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPXL?
Our model-based fair value for MPX Logistics International is 36.50 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 169.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MPXL?
MPX Logistics International has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 36.50 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 24.93 IDR, optimistic scenario 50.26 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MPX Logistics International stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 36.50 IDR, about −78% upside versus a price of 169.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 24.93 IDR, optimistic scenario 50.26 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
MPX Logistics International reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 130B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does MPX Logistics International pay a dividend?
MPX Logistics International currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MPX Logistics International it is 36.50 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 169.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MPX Logistics International stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MPXL trades above its calculated fair value: price 169.00 IDR, fair value 36.50 IDR, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPXL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (169.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (36.50 IDR). For MPX Logistics International the two are 132.50 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MPX Logistics International worth?
The market values MPX Logistics International at about 338B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 169.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 36.50 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPXL?
Our models span a range for MPX Logistics International: cautious scenario 24.93 IDR, base 36.50 IDR, optimistic 50.26 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 169.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
Balance-sheet figures for MPX Logistics International (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −7.9%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPXL from its 52-week high?
MPX Logistics International trades at 169.00 IDR, about 48% below its 52-week high of 324.00 IDR and 64% above the low of 103.00 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 36.50 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MPX Logistics International?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, TFI International Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MPX Logistics International stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 169.00 IDR, calculated fair value 36.50 IDR (−78%), Quality Score 30/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPXL calculated?
We run MPX Logistics International through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 36.50 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. MPX Logistics International itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with MPX Logistics International right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.26 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (24.93 IDR to 50.26 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of MPX Logistics International
How large is the market capitalisation of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The market capitalisation of MPX Logistics International is 338B IDR (≈ $33.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MPX Logistics International is 1.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The dividend yield of MPX Logistics International is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The net margin of MPX Logistics International is −6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MPX Logistics International is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MPX Logistics International is 9.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
The operating margin of MPX Logistics International is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
Revenue at MPX Logistics International is growing +54.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MPX Logistics International (MPXL)?
Earnings per share at MPX Logistics International are growing +26.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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