Marex Group (MRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.7B
Marex Group
MRX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range $18.09 – $70.29 · fair‑value band $18.45 – $30.75 · the $60.81 price screens above the $24.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Marex Group (MRX) currently trades at $60.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.60, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Marex Group generated revenue of $3.3B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 55.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.1%. Net debt stands at $3.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.45 (bear case) to $30.75 (bull case); at $60.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -60%, MRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($241.35) versus Dividend Discount ($11.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Marex Group plc, a financial services platform company, provides liquidity, market access, and infrastructure services to clients in the commodity and financial markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Clearing, Agency and Execution, Market Making, and Hedging and Investment Solutions segments.
Full company description
Marex Group plc, a financial services platform company, provides liquidity, market access, and infrastructure services to clients in the commodity and financial markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Clearing, Agency and Execution, Market Making, and Hedging and Investment Solutions segments. The company offers execution and clearing services in metals, agricultural products, energy and fixed income, financial securities, digital assets, and equity futures and options; liquidity, execution, and risk management solutions to financial markets. It also provides liquidity to clients in the OTC energy markets; market data, analytics, and market commentary; energy services, including gas, power, environmental, and crude oil markets; and market-making services across commodities markets, such as metals, agricultural products, and energy markets. In addition, the company offers OTC traded hedging and customized OTC derivatives solutions; and risk management solutions across a spectrum of markets, including agriculture, currency, and interest rate markets for trading houses, producers and consumers, and banks and distributors. Further, it engages in the structured notes business, which allows investors to build structured notes across asset classes, including commodities, equities, foreign exchange, and fixed-income products for private banks, independent asset managers, pension funds, and corporates; and a portfolio of structured Notes, including auto-callable, fixed, stability, and credit-linked notes. Additionally, the company offers technology platforms, including Neon, a trading, risk, and data platform; and Agile, a commodity broking platform. Marex Group plc was incorporated in 2005 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Marex Group reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $852M in FY2021, a compound +43.7%/yr. Reported net income was $308M in FY2025, compounding +52.8%/yr from FY2021.
MRX screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Marex Group Limited completes acquisition of equity derivatives market maker Webb Traders
- Marex Group Limited to announce second quarter 2026 results on August 12, 2026
- Keefe Bruyette Lifts PT on Marex Group (MRX), Names it Top Pick
- Marex Group To Acquire Bright Point International To Expand Footprint Across Asia-Pacific Region
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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