Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.6B
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp
MSGE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($55.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($23.82 to $55.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range $28.38 – $80.95 · fair‑value band $23.82 – $55.91 · the $76.55 price screens above the $43.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) currently trades at $76.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.00, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 170.3%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $23.82 (bear case) to $55.91 (bull case); at $76.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -44%, MSGE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($52.44) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The company produces, presents, and hosts live entertainment events, such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, family shows, performing arts events, and special events.
Full company description
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The company produces, presents, and hosts live entertainment events, such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, family shows, performing arts events, and special events. It holds a portfolio of venues that include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. The company also owns and produces the original production, the Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes. In addition, it engages in the entertainment and sports bookings business that showcase a range of concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as various sporting events. The company was formerly known as MSGE Spinco, Inc. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp reported revenue of $943M in FY2025 versus $81.8M in FY2021, a compound +84.2%/yr. Reported net income was $37.4M in FY2025.
MSGE screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Madison Square Garden sues Wired over article on celebrity database
- Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Signs Penn Station Deal, Is The Stock Fully Valued?
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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