Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp stock $72.64, price $77.06, that is 5.7% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range $28.38 – $88.42 · fair‑value band $41.16 – $94.43 · the $77.06 price screens above the $72.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The company produces, presents, and hosts live entertainment events, such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, family shows, performing arts events, and special events.
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It holds a portfolio of venues that include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. The company also owns and produces the original production, the Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes.
In addition, it engages in the entertainment and sports bookings business that showcase a range of concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as various sporting events.
The company was formerly known as MSGE Spinco, Inc. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) currently trades at $77.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.64, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $85.69 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the $77.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $30.80, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $41.16 (bear) to $94.43 (bull), the price of $77.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $653M in FY2022, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $66.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $3.7B Mid · P/E ratio 38.0 · P/S ratio 3.30 · EPS (TTM) $2.03 · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity 40.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −6%, MSGE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$41.16Fair Value $72.64Bull$94.43
Price $77.06 · Downside -5.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7286 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $737,873 and none bought.
SalePhilip Gerard D'AmbrosioEVP and Treasurer9,907 shares at $74.48$737,873Jun 11, 2026
SaleCharles P DolanDirector19,311 shares at $63.76$1.2MFeb 20, 2026
Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−290% → 13%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.0%/yr over ~7Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.6% a year for the price and +2.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Iconic venues draw millions of guests annually and offer pricing power in live events, yet high leverage and negative book equity create persistent capital pressures.
Main risk: High leverage after separation from sports assets threatens the ability to cover fixed venue costs with steady event volumes.
MSG Entertainment operates a portfolio of iconic venues that draw millions of guests annually through concerts, shows and events. Recent share repurchases and a new arena partnership signal confidence in the live entertainment model, yet high leverage and separation from sports assets create ongoing capital pressures. Do the venues' event volumes and pricing power outweigh these constraints, or will external industry challenges prevail?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−5.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)40.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)4.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)37.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSGE
Frequently asked questions
Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $72.64 versus a price of $77.06, about 6% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MSGE?
Our model-based fair value for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is $72.64 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $77.06.
What is the quality score of MSGE?
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $72.64 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $41.16, optimistic scenario $94.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $72.64, about 6% lower versus a price of $77.06 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $41.16, optimistic scenario $94.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +21.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +66.9 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MSGE use?
Our models discount Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp that is +21.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp grew +66.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (+21.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.25 %: that much free cash flow Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp it is $72.64 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $77.06. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, MSGE trades above its calculated fair value: price $77.06, fair value $72.64, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MSGE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($77.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($72.64). For Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp the two are $4.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp worth?
The market values Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp at about $3.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $77.06; our models calculate a fair value of $72.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MSGE?
Our models span a range for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp: cautious scenario $41.16, base $72.64, optimistic $94.43 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $77.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MSGE?
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $72.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 14.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 40.8%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MSGE from its 52-week high?
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp trades at $77.06, about 13% below its 52-week high of $88.42 and 74% above the low of $44.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $72.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $77.06, calculated fair value $72.64 (−6%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MSGE calculated?
We run Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $72.64 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $77.06. Our model-based fair value is $72.64, about 6% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($41.16 to $94.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The market capitalisation of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is $3.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is 3.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Earnings per share at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp are $2.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The net margin of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is 8.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is 40.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
The operating margin of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Revenue at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is growing +37.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE)?
Earnings per share at Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp are growing −35.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp (MSGE) carry?
The net debt of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp is $361M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026