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MGX Resources Limited (MTGRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $333M

MR MGX Resources Limited logo MGX Resources Limited MTGRY · US
Price$2.83
Fair Value$5.34
Upside+89.0%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $3.16 – $8.38 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $5.26 to $5.34 (+1.5%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$3.23 $2.15 Fair Value $5.34 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $2.15 – $3.23 · fair‑value band $3.16 – $8.38 · the $2.83 price screens below the $5.34 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

MGX Resources Limited (MTGRY) currently trades at $2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.34, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MGX Resources Limited generated revenue of $317M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $43.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.16 (bear case) to $8.38 (bull case); at $2.83, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 89%, MTGRY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $317M
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.2%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -7.0%
Free cash flow $34.2M FY2025
Operating margin -36.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) +1,787%
Net cash $43.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

MGX Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, processing, shipment, export, and sale of hematite iron ore in Australia and China. Its flagship project is the Koolan Island mine site located in the Kimberley region of Western Australia. The company is also involved in the treasury management, mineral resources acquisition, and investment activities. The company was formerly known as Mount Gibson Iron Limited and changed its name to MGX Resources Limited in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MGX Resources Limited reported revenue of $331M in FY2025 versus $330M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$82.2M in FY2025.

Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 $330M
FY22 $141M
FY23 $453M
FY24 $668M
FY25 $331M
Net income
FY21 $64.0M
FY22 −$174M
FY23 $5.2M
FY24 $6.4M
FY25 −$82.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MGX Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTGRY

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation N1UE34 R$110.09 R$38.41 -65%
ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 R$168.96 R$26.89 -84%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,284 ₹901.55 -30%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹198.75 ₹131.96 -34%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.75 ¥8.07 +40%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.45 TWD 11.94 TWD -69%
POSCO Holdings 005490 363,000 KRW 143,097 KRW -61%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 3,789 ARS -72%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,181 ₹440.77 -63%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,704 ₹1,099 -36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MGX Resources Limited (MTGRY) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.34 versus a price of $2.83, about +89% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MTGRY?
Our model-based fair value for MGX Resources Limited is $5.34 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.83.
What is the quality score of MTGRY?
MGX Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MGX Resources Limited (MTGRY)?
MGX Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $317M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTGRY?
The net profit margin of MGX Resources Limited is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.