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Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Marvel Gold Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000102154

MG Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Marvel Gold Ltd

MVL · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0118 · Overvalued (−21.3%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +43.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0816 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0118 Feb 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0816 · fair‑value band A$0.0107 – A$0.0140 · the A$0.0150 price screens above the A$0.0118 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Marvel Gold Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold projects. The company holds 100% interest in the Hanang gold project, which is located in central Tanzania. Marvel Gold Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0118, implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0107 (bear) to A$0.0140 (bull), the price of A$0.0150 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Marvel Gold Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$3.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$18.3M (≈ $12.8M) · Return on equity −95.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −47.3% · Operating margin −1,629% · Revenue (TTM) A$83.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −71.8% · Free cash flow −A$1.7M · Net cash A$3.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −21%, MVL screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.2%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,861.7% (2018) → −3,987.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MVL screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −60.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −71.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 2
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 21

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $121.43 $133.57 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $194.48 $219.71 +13%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $142.92 $87.78 −39%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $257.87 $283.66 +10%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $99.03 $88.60 −11%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $25.05 $51.30 +105%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.49 $277.74 +10%
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥29.07 ¥23.61 −19%
Pan American Silver Corp PAAS $48.04 $59.13 +23%

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Marvel Gold Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0118 −27%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marvel Gold Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MVL

Frequently asked questions

Is Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0118 versus a price of A$0.0150, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MVL?
Our model-based fair value for Marvel Gold Ltd is A$0.0118 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0150.
What is the quality score of MVL?
Marvel Gold Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0118 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0107, optimistic scenario A$0.0140. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marvel Gold Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0118, about −21% upside versus a price of A$0.0150 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0107, optimistic scenario A$0.0140. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
Marvel Gold Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$83.0K (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marvel Gold Ltd it is A$0.0118 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0150. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marvel Gold Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MVL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0150, fair value A$0.0118, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MVL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0118). For Marvel Gold Ltd the two are A$0.0032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marvel Gold Ltd worth?
The market values Marvel Gold Ltd at about A$18.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0150; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0118 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MVL?
Our models span a range for Marvel Gold Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0107, base A$0.0118, optimistic A$0.0140 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marvel Gold Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −95.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MVL from its 52-week high?
Marvel Gold Ltd trades at A$0.0150, about 35% below its 52-week high of A$0.0230 and 50% above the low of A$0.0100 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0118 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marvel Gold Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marvel Gold Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0150, calculated fair value A$0.0118 (−21%), Quality Score 35/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MVL calculated?
We run Marvel Gold Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0118, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Marvel Gold Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was A$0.0150. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0118, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marvel Gold Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0140). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Marvel Gold Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
The market capitalisation of Marvel Gold Ltd is A$18.3M (≈ $12.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marvel Gold Ltd is −95.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marvel Gold Ltd is −47.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
The operating margin of Marvel Gold Ltd is −1,629% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL)?
Revenue at Marvel Gold Ltd is growing −71.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL) generate?
The free cash flow of Marvel Gold Ltd is −A$1.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Marvel Gold Ltd (MVL) hold?
Marvel Gold Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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