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Manila Water Company (MWTCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $2.1B

MW Manila Water Company logo Manila Water Company MWTCY · US
Price$15.43
Fair Value$26.92
Upside+74.5%
Quality52/100
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Evidence: High Range $19.15 – $40.89 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $27.09 to $26.92 (−0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$19.13 $4.92 Fair Value $26.92 Jun 2020 Jul 2026

12‑month range $4.92 – $19.13 · fair‑value band $19.15 – $40.89 · the $15.43 price screens below the $26.92 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Manila Water Company (MWTCY) currently trades at $15.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.92, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Manila Water Company generated revenue of $41.2B at a net margin of 40.4%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.8%. Net debt stands at $135B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.15 (bear case) to $40.89 (bull case); at $15.43, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 74%, MWTCY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $41.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.5%
Net margin 40.4%
Return on equity 20.8%
Free cash flow −$1.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 7.7
More key figures
Operating margin 58.4%
EPS (TTM) $2.33
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.6%
Net debt $135B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Manila Water Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides water treatment and distribution, sewerage, and sanitation services in the Philippines, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company also offers integrated used water, pipework, engineering, procurement, and management services. It serves residential, commercial, semi-business, and industrial customers. Manila Water Company, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Manila Water Company reported revenue of $40.8B in FY2025 versus $20.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was $16.2B in FY2025, compounding +44.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 $20.3B
FY22 $21.8B
FY23 $30.7B
FY24 $36.6B
FY25 $40.8B
Net income +44.8%/yr
FY21 $3.7B
FY22 $5.9B
FY23 $5.6B
FY24 $10.5B
FY25 $16.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Manila Water Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MWTCY

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $123.68 $55.39 -55%
SBSP3 SBSP3 R$28.16 R$31.23 +11%
SBS SBS $5.79 $5.21 -10%
United Utilities Group UUGRY $34.94 $29.62 -15%
Severn Trent PLC STRNY $38.53 $27.88 -28%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $37.57 $34.60 -8%
Guangdong Investment Limited GGDVY $50.80 $52.32 +3%
CSMG3 CSMG3 R$59.32 R$60.17 +1%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥30.48 ¥41.75 +37%
American States Water Company AWR $77.02 $35.00 -55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Manila Water Company (MWTCY) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.92 versus a price of $15.43, about +74% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MWTCY?
Our model-based fair value for Manila Water Company is $26.92 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.43.
What is the quality score of MWTCY?
Manila Water Company has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Manila Water Company (MWTCY)?
Manila Water Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $41.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MWTCY?
The net profit margin of Manila Water Company is about 40.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 40.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Manila Water Company pay a dividend?
Manila Water Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.