Manila Water Company (MWTCY) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $2.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $27.09 to $26.92 (−0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $4.92 – $19.13 · fair‑value band $19.15 – $40.89 · the $15.43 price screens below the $26.92 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Manila Water Company (MWTCY) currently trades at $15.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.92, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Manila Water Company generated revenue of $41.2B at a net margin of 40.4%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.8%. Net debt stands at $135B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.15 (bear case) to $40.89 (bull case); at $15.43, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 74%, MWTCY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Manila Water Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides water treatment and distribution, sewerage, and sanitation services in the Philippines, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company also offers integrated used water, pipework, engineering, procurement, and management services. It serves residential, commercial, semi-business, and industrial customers. Manila Water Company, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Manila Water Company reported revenue of $40.8B in FY2025 versus $20.3B in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was $16.2B in FY2025, compounding +44.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $123.68 | $55.39 | -55% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$28.16 | R$31.23 | +11% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| United Utilities Group UUGRY | $34.94 | $29.62 | -15% |
| Severn Trent PLC STRNY | $38.53 | $27.88 | -28% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $37.57 | $34.60 | -8% |
| Guangdong Investment Limited GGDVY | $50.80 | $52.32 | +3% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$59.32 | R$60.17 | +1% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥30.48 | ¥41.75 | +37% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $77.02 | $35.00 | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.