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Nano Labs Ltd (NA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $45.7M

NL Nano Labs Ltd logo Nano Labs Ltd NA · US
Price$1.83
Fair Value$2.41
Upside+31.7%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.81 – $3.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $16.23 to $2.41 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 32% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • Our model range runs from $1.81 (bear) to $3.01 (bull), base $2.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 29/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$108.70 $1.61 Fair Value $2.41 Jul 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range $1.61 – $108.70 · fair‑value band $1.81 – $3.01 · the $1.83 price screens below the $2.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Nano Labs Ltd (NA) currently trades at $1.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.41, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $27.0M. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.9%. Net debt stands at $226M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.81 (bear case) to $3.01 (bull case); at $1.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at 32%, NA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $4.59 $6.55 $8.52 68
P/E Multiple $2.18 $2.91 $3.63 63
Residual Income $0.7787 $0.9999 $2.42 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1.59 $3.29 $6.25 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.9882 $6.89 $9.67 54
Lynch FV $3.56 $5.09 $6.61 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.56 $5.09 $6.61 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.18 $2.91 $3.63 63
P/S Multiple $0.0544 $0.0725 $0.0906 58
P/B Multiple $1.81 $2.41 $3.01 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4016 $0.5383 $0.8034 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.7787 $0.9999 $2.42 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.59 $6.55 $8.52 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.55) versus Asset-Based ($0.5383). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.1%
Net margin 502%
Return on equity 25.9%
Free cash flow −$108M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.0
More key figures
Operating margin -195%
EPS (TTM) $0.9900
Net debt $226M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nano Labs Ltd engages in the design and sale of fabless integrated circuit and product solutions in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. The company develops HTC chips and HPC chips.

Full company description

Nano Labs Ltd engages in the design and sale of fabless integrated circuit and product solutions in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. The company develops HTC chips and HPC chips. It offers Cuckoo 1.0, Cuckoo 2.0, and Cuckoo 3.0 which target the ASIC-resistant mining algorithms of cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum Classic and Grin; and Darkbird 1.0 HPC chips. The company serves enterprises and individual buyers. Nano Labs Ltd was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nano Labs Ltd reported revenue of $27.0M in FY2025 versus $39.4M in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $135M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.0M
Latest YoY
−33.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−69.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+66.2%
Revenue −9.0%/yr
FY21 $39.4M
FY22 $983M
FY23 $78.3M
FY24 $40.6M
FY25 $27.0M
Net income
FY21 −$175M
FY22 $31.1M
FY23 −$253M
FY24 −$113M
FY25 $135M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nano Labs Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -195% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 76 · sector 0
FUTURE 91 · sector 60
PAST 100 · sector 24
HEALTH 89 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €323.25 €121.25 -62%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$52.57 C$7.50 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €464.70 €56.33 -88%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nano Labs Ltd (NA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.41 versus a price of $1.83, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NA?
Our model-based fair value for Nano Labs Ltd is $2.41 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.83.
What is the quality score of NA?
Nano Labs Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nano Labs Ltd (NA)?
Nano Labs Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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