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Nagambie Resources Limited (NAG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$11.4M

NR Nagambie Resources Limited NAG · AU
PriceA$0.0080
Fair ValueA$0.0085
Upside+6.3%
Quality19/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0077 – A$0.0093 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0930 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0085 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0930 · fair‑value band A$0.0077 – A$0.0093 · the A$0.0080 price screens below the A$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Nagambie Resources Limited (NAG) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$269K. Revenue declined 59.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. Net debt stands at A$5.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0077 (bear case) to A$0.0093 (bull case); at A$0.0080, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 6%, NAG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0100) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$269K
Revenue growth (YoY) -59.8%
Return on equity -13.5%
Free cash flow −A$1.7M FY2025
Operating margin -557%
Net debt A$5.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nagambie Resources Limited explores for and develops gold and related minerals, and construction materials in Australia. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Antimony-Gold project located at the Nagambie Mine. It is also involved in the investigation and development of waste handling assets, as well as property owning activities.

Full company description

Nagambie Resources Limited explores for and develops gold and related minerals, and construction materials in Australia. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Antimony-Gold project located at the Nagambie Mine. It is also involved in the investigation and development of waste handling assets, as well as property owning activities. The company was formerly known as Nagambie Mining Limited and changed its name to Nagambie Resources Limited in November 2015. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Nagambie, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nagambie Resources Limited reported revenue of A$453K in FY2025 versus A$239K in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$453K
Latest YoY
+65.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.7%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 A$239K
FY22 A$251K
FY23 A$263K
FY24 A$274K
FY25 A$453K
Net income
FY21 −A$2.0M
FY22 −A$2.3M
FY23 −A$3.3M
FY24 −A$2.8M
FY25 −A$1.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nagambie Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAG

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -60% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 29.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nagambie Resources Limited (NAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0080, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NAG?
Our model-based fair value for Nagambie Resources Limited is A$0.0085 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0080.
What is the quality score of NAG?
Nagambie Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nagambie Resources Limited (NAG)?
Nagambie Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$269K (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NAG?
The net profit margin of Nagambie Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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