Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Nakamoto Inc. $16.98, price $9.72, upside +74.7%, quality 9 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $3.37 – $1,001 · fair‑value band $12.74 – $21.23 · the $9.72 price screens below the $16.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Nakamoto Inc. develops and invests in a global portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies. It offers commercial and financial infrastructure for the capital markets. The company was formerly known as Kindly MD, Inc. and change its name to Nakamoto Inc. in January 2026. Nakamoto Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Nashville, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) currently trades at $9.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.98, implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $12.74 (bear) to $21.23 (bull), the price of $9.72 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 9/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nakamoto Inc. reported revenue of $1.8M in FY2025 versus $2.5M in FY2021, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $110M · P/S ratio 25.7 · EPS (TTM) $−18.78 · Return on equity −157% · Return on assets (EBIT) −107% · Operating margin −1,050% · Revenue (TTM) $2.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) +177%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 188% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 75%, NAKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.74Fair Value $16.98Bull $21.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2021) → −10,824.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 465 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+74.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth177.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nakamoto Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAKA
Frequently asked questions
Is Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.98 versus a price of $9.72, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NAKA?
Our model-based fair value for Nakamoto Inc. is $16.98 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.72.
What is the quality score of NAKA?
Nakamoto Inc. has a Quality Score of 9/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.98 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.74, optimistic scenario $21.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nakamoto Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.98, about +75% upside versus a price of $9.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.74, optimistic scenario $21.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Nakamoto Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nakamoto Inc. it is $16.98 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $9.72. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nakamoto Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NAKA trades below its calculated fair value: price $9.72, fair value $16.98, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NAKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.98). For Nakamoto Inc. the two are $7.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nakamoto Inc. worth?
The market values Nakamoto Inc. at about $110M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $9.72; our models calculate a fair value of $16.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NAKA?
Our models span a range for Nakamoto Inc.: cautious scenario $12.74, base $16.98, optimistic $21.23 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $9.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nakamoto Inc. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −157.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 9/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NAKA from its 52-week high?
Nakamoto Inc. trades at $9.72, about 79% below its 52-week high of $46.80 and 188% above the low of $3.37 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nakamoto Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nakamoto Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $9.72, calculated fair value $16.98 (+75%), Quality Score 9/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NAKA calculated?
We run Nakamoto Inc. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Nakamoto Inc. currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $9.72. Our model-based fair value is $16.98, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nakamoto Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (9/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Nakamoto Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
The market capitalisation of Nakamoto Inc. is $110M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nakamoto Inc. is 25.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Earnings per share at Nakamoto Inc. are $−18.78. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nakamoto Inc. is −157% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nakamoto Inc. is −107% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
The operating margin of Nakamoto Inc. is −1,050% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)?
Revenue at Nakamoto Inc. is growing +177% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) generate?
The free cash flow of Nakamoto Inc. is −$23.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) carry?
The net debt of Nakamoto Inc. is $187M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026