Natura Cosméticos S.A (NATU3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$11.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (R$7.08 to R$13.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from R$7.08 (bear) to R$13.21 (bull), base R$10.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 37/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$7.20 – R$61.05 · fair‑value band R$7.08 – R$13.21 · the R$8.28 price screens below the R$10.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Natura Cosméticos S.A (NATU3) currently trades at R$8.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$10.14, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Natura Cosméticos S.A generated revenue of R$21.7B at a net margin of -10.7%. Revenue declined 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. Net debt stands at R$5.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$7.08 (bear case) to R$13.21 (bull case); at R$8.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 23%, NATU3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R$18.71) versus Dividend Discount (R$1.70). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Natura Cosméticos S.A. engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and marketing of cosmetics, fragrances, and personal hygiene products in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, México, Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador.
Full company description
Natura Cosméticos S.A. engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and marketing of cosmetics, fragrances, and personal hygiene products in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, México, Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador. The company offers its products through retail markets, e-commerce, business-to-business, and franchise channels under the Avon and Natura brands. Natura Cosméticos S.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Natura Cosméticos S.A reported revenue of R$21.8B in FY2025 versus R$40.2B in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −R$1.8B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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