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Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A (NAYP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GR · Market cap €13.9M

NT Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A NAYP · AT
Price€1.20
Fair Value€0.9500
Upside-20.5%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.4% net margin
Low debt
Trails peers (0/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.5900 – €1.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €1.46 to €0.9500 (−34.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€0.5900 to €1.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.68 €0.4840 Fair Value €0.9500 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.4840 – €1.68 · fair‑value band €0.5900 – €1.09 · the €1.20 price screens above the €0.9500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A (NAYP) currently trades at €1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A generated revenue of €11.4M at a net margin of -9.4%. Revenue declined 34.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.6%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.5900 (bear case) to €1.09 (bull case); at €1.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -21%, NAYP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.8600 €1.42 €2.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.9300 €1.71 €2.75 74
ROIC Compounder €0.5200 €0.6000 €0.6600 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.8900 €1.55 €2.54 38
Owner Earnings €0.1100 €0.2500 €0.4500 31
5Y Revenue Exit €0.9300 €1.74 €2.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.08 €2.04 €3.26 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.6200 €1.06 €1.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit €0.8700 €1.56 €2.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.9800 €1.75 €2.96 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.7200 €1.13 €1.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.2400 €1.26 €1.74 54
Lynch FV €0.3400 €0.4900 €0.6400 50
PEG = 1.0 €0.3400 €0.4900 €0.6400 46
EPV €0.5200 €0.6000 €0.6600 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.5900 €0.7900 €0.9900 63
P/S Multiple €0.4600 €0.6100 €0.7600 58
P/B Multiple €0.4600 €0.6100 €0.7600 55
EV/EBIT €1.52 €2.05 €2.59 53
EV/EBITDA €1.33 €1.80 €2.28 54
EV/Revenue €0.9900 €1.46 €1.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4600 €0.6200 €0.9300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.8600 €1.42 €2.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.9300 €1.71 €2.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.6200 €0.5800 €0.4500 61
ROIC Compounder €0.5200 €0.6000 €0.6600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.5300 €0.7600 €0.9800 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€1.55) versus Earnings-Based (€0.4900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €11.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.6%
Net margin -9.4%
Return on equity -14.6%
Operating margin -1.4%
EPS (TTM) €-0.0080
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +39.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A. engages in the cotton ginning and production of cotton yarns in Greece. It also has a photovoltaic park of 1.3 MWp, which generates electricity and sells it to the network. In addition, the company's primary sectors include textile, agricultural products, and renewable energy sources.

Full company description

Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A. engages in the cotton ginning and production of cotton yarns in Greece. It also has a photovoltaic park of 1.3 MWp, which generates electricity and sells it to the network. In addition, the company's primary sectors include textile, agricultural products, and renewable energy sources. Further, it exports its products to Italy, Germany, Austria, Bulgaria, Turkey, Egypt, and Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Nafpaktos Textile Industry George Polychronos S.A. and changed its name to Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A. in July 2002. Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Pefki, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years

Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A reported revenue of €16.4M in FY2022 versus €12.3M in FY2018, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was €413K in FY2022, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2018.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2022)
€16.4M
Latest YoY
+20.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY18 €12.3M
FY19 €14.1M
FY20 €10.5M
FY21 €13.6M
FY22 €16.4M
Net income +15.0%/yr
FY18 €236K
FY19 €225K
FY20 −€93.7K
FY21 €772K
FY22 €413K

NAYP screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAYP

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -35% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.40× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A (NAYP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.9500 versus a price of €1.20, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NAYP?
Our model-based fair value for Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A is €0.9500 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.20.
What is the quality score of NAYP?
Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A (NAYP)?
Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €11.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NAYP?
The net profit margin of Nafpaktos Textile Industry S.A is about -9.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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