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NCL Industries Limited (NCLIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹8.7B

NI NCL Industries Limited NCLIND · NSE
Price₹172.02
Fair Value₹174.79
Upside+1.6%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.83% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range ₹122.35 – ₹307.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹254.97 to ₹174.79 (−31.4%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹122.35 to ₹307.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹276.46 ₹147.32 Fair Value ₹174.79 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹147.32 – ₹276.46 · fair‑value band ₹122.35 – ₹307.22 · the ₹172.02 price screens below the ₹174.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NCL Industries Limited (NCLIND) currently trades at ₹172.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹174.79, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NCL Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹14.2B at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 62.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at ₹2.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹122.35 (bear case) to ₹307.22 (bull case); at ₹172.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 2%, NCLIND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹12.16 ₹42.63 ₹91.82 80
Residual Income ₹180.09 ₹199.85 ₹314.72 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹161.85 ₹345.55 ₹583.05 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹12.63 ₹46.41 ₹103.20 38
Owner Earnings ₹80.85 ₹167.72 ₹313.80 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹161.85 ₹354.99 ₹625.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹177.28 ₹386.91 ₹656.00 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹148.92 ₹328.24 ₹537.16 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹100.18 ₹263.90 ₹529.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹119.10 ₹286.82 ₹553.99 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹100.69 ₹244.71 ₹456.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹143.41 ₹673.87 ₹926.39 54
Lynch FV ₹178.48 ₹254.97 ₹331.46 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹178.48 ₹254.97 ₹331.46 46
EPV ₹212.39 ₹250.78 ₹283.90 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹30.74 ₹61.25 ₹92.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹30.74 ₹52.93 ₹64.65 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹268.88 ₹358.51 ₹448.14 63
P/S Multiple ₹268.88 ₹358.51 ₹448.14 58
P/B Multiple ₹268.88 ₹358.51 ₹448.14 55
EV/EBIT ₹281.45 ₹385.52 ₹489.60 53
EV/EBITDA ₹284.26 ₹389.27 ₹494.28 54
EV/Revenue ₹239.82 ₹355.79 ₹471.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹103.93 ₹139.27 ₹207.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹12.16 ₹42.63 ₹91.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹161.85 ₹345.55 ₹583.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹180.09 ₹199.85 ₹314.72 76
ROIC Compounder ₹214.74 ₹294.76 ₹389.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹253.16 ₹361.66 ₹470.15 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹361.66) versus Growth DCF (₹42.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹14.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +62.2%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow ₹160M FY2026
P/E ratio 6.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹27.88
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +563%
Net debt ₹2.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NCL Industries Limited manufactures and sells building materials in India. It operates through five segments: Cement; Boards; Hydel Power; Ready Mix Concrete; and Readymade Doors.

Full company description

NCL Industries Limited manufactures and sells building materials in India. It operates through five segments: Cement; Boards; Hydel Power; Ready Mix Concrete; and Readymade Doors. The company offers cement, including ordinary Portland, pozzolana Portland, and special cements for small housing, megastructures, and irrigation projects applications under the Nagarjuna brand. It also provides ready mixed concrete under the Nagarjuna RMC brand; cement bonded particleboards under the Bison Panel brand; and readymade doors under the NCLdoor brand. In addition, the company operates two mini-hydel power projects with a total installed capacity of 15.75 MW. The company was formerly known as Nagarjuna Cements Limited and changed its name to NCL Industries Limited in 1987. NCL Industries Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Secunderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NCL Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹14.2B in FY2026 versus ₹16.3B in FY2022, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹954M in FY2026, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹14.2B
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY22 ₹16.3B
FY23 ₹16.1B
FY24 ₹18.7B
FY25 ₹14.1B
FY26 ₹14.2B
Net income +0.3%/yr
FY22 ₹944M
FY23 ₹443M
FY24 ₹932M
FY25 ₹252M
FY26 ₹954M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.8 pp

of which total revenue +10.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.4 pp

EBIT margin −0.3 pp
Tax rate −1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NCL Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NCLIND

Peer Group

Building Materials · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 62% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 23
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 55 · sector 15
HEALTH 92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.31 ¥13.22 -69%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,308 ₹1,245 -62%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 12.27 MXN -43%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.49 ¥26.14 +49%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹421.00 ₹216.73 -49%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹25,570 ₹8,215 -68%
TCC Group 1101B 43.15 TWD 9.76 TWD -77%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 57.60 TWD 13.98 TWD -76%
J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT ₹5,349 ₹2,184 -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NCL Industries Limited (NCLIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹174.79 versus a price of ₹172.02, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NCLIND?
Our model-based fair value for NCL Industries Limited is ₹174.79 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹172.02.
What is the quality score of NCLIND?
NCL Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NCL Industries Limited (NCLIND)?
NCL Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NCLIND?
The net profit margin of NCL Industries Limited is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NCL Industries Limited pay a dividend?
NCL Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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