The9 Limited (NCTY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $75.6M
The9 Limited
NCTY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($3.60 to $6.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.21 – $229.80 · fair‑value band $3.60 – $6.82 · the $4.71 price screens below the $5.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
The9 Limited (NCTY) currently trades at $4.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.46, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $108M. Revenue grew 133.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $176M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.60 (bear case) to $6.82 (bull case); at $4.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 16%, NCTY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The9 Limited operates as a cryptocurrency mining company in China, Eastern Europe, Asia, and North America. It operates through Cryptocurrency Mining and Online game services segments.
Full company description
The9 Limited operates as a cryptocurrency mining company in China, Eastern Europe, Asia, and North America. It operates through Cryptocurrency Mining and Online game services segments. The company provides IT with technical services for the operation of computer software and related businesses, including the provision of systematic solutions for the operation of internet websites, the rental of computer and internet facilities, daily maintenance of internet servers and databases, the development and update of computer software, and other related technical and consulting services. It also develops and operates mobile and computer games, as well as publishes and services MIR M, an online game. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The9 Limited reported revenue of $108M in FY2025 versus $134M in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$402M in FY2025.
Watch NCTY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 423 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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