PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, (NFCX) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · ID · Market cap 1.0T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (287.17 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,035 IDR – 13,400 IDR · fair‑value band 213.17 IDR – 287.17 IDR · the 1,520 IDR price screens above the 287.17 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, (NFCX) currently trades at 1,520 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 287.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 81.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.7T IDR. Revenue declined 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at 98.6B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 213.17 IDR (bear case) to 287.17 IDR (bull case); at 1,520 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -81%, NFCX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,393 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (10.08 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of marketing platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Digital Product Aggregator, Digital Cloud Advertisement, Clean Energy Products and Services, Digital Wholesale, and Content and Entertainment segments.
Full company description
PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of marketing platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Digital Product Aggregator, Digital Cloud Advertisement, Clean Energy Products and Services, Digital Wholesale, and Content and Entertainment segments. The company offers various digital products for SMEs, modern retail, and e-commerce through a B2B2C platform; digital cloud marketing ecosystem solution through hardware, content management system and managed service contract; and transportation products and infrastructure under the electric motorcycle Volta brand name. It is also involved in the management of collection of superhero characters with intellectual property and digital activation platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT NFC Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT M Cash Integrasi Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 4.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 8.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound −17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding −56.8%/yr from FY2021.
NFCX screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $113.30 | $451.51 | +299% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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