NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk IDR 215, price IDR 1,700, upside -87.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,035 IDR – 13,400 IDR · the 1,700 IDR price screens above the 215.16 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of marketing platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Digital Product Aggregator, Digital Cloud Advertisement, Clean Energy Products and Services, Digital Wholesale, and Content and Entertainment segments.
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PT NFC Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of marketing platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Digital Product Aggregator, Digital Cloud Advertisement, Clean Energy Products and Services, Digital Wholesale, and Content and Entertainment segments. The company offers various digital products for SMEs, modern retail, and e-commerce through a B2B2C platform; digital cloud marketing ecosystem solution through hardware, content management system and managed service contract; and transportation products and infrastructure under the electric motorcycle Volta brand name. It is also involved in the management of collection of superhero characters with intellectual property and digital activation platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT NFC Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT M Cash Integrasi Tbk.
Stock analysis
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX) currently trades at 1,700 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 215.16 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 689.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,541 IDR per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the 1,700 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 187.53 IDR, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk reported revenue of 4.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 8.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound −17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding −56.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1T IDR (≈ $62.9M) · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) −1.26 IDR · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, NFCX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (6.49 IDR to 1,694 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 215.16 IDRFair Value 215.16 IDRBull 215.16 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +82.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−30.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 0%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 150 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−37% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NFC Indonesia PT Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFCX
Frequently asked questions
Is NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 215.16 IDR versus a price of 1,700 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NFCX?
Our model-based fair value for NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 215.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,700 IDR.
What is the quality score of NFCX?
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 215.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NFC Indonesia PT Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 215.16 IDR, about −87% upside versus a price of 1,700 IDR (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NFC Indonesia PT Tbk pay a dividend?
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NFC Indonesia PT Tbk it is 215.16 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,700 IDR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NFC Indonesia PT Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NFCX trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,700 IDR, fair value 215.16 IDR, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NFCX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,700 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (215.16 IDR). For NFC Indonesia PT Tbk the two are 1,485 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NFC Indonesia PT Tbk worth?
The market values NFC Indonesia PT Tbk at about 1.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,700 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 215.16 IDR per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Balance-sheet figures for NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NFCX from its 52-week high?
NFC Indonesia PT Tbk trades at 1,700 IDR, about 13% below its 52-week high of 1,965 IDR and 41% above the low of 1,205 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 215.16 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NFC Indonesia PT Tbk?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NFC Indonesia PT Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,700 IDR, calculated fair value 215.16 IDR (−87%), Quality Score 54/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NFCX calculated?
We run NFC Indonesia PT Tbk through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 215.16 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NFC Indonesia PT Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,700 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 215.16 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NFC Indonesia PT Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (215.16 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The market capitalisation of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 1.1T IDR (≈ $62.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Earnings per share at NFC Indonesia PT Tbk are −1.26 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The dividend yield of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The net margin of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
The operating margin of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Revenue at NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is growing −37.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX)?
Earnings per share at NFC Indonesia PT Tbk are growing −89.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX) generate?
The free cash flow of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is −17.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NFC Indonesia PT Tbk (NFCX) carry?
The net debt of NFC Indonesia PT Tbk is 98.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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