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New Found Gold Corp (NFGC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $622M

NF New Found Gold Corp logo New Found Gold Corp NFGC · US
Price$1.67
Fair Value$1.96
Upside+17.1%
Quality22/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.46 – $2.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 46 days ago

Share price +11.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • Our model range runs from $1.46 (bear) to $2.44 (bull), base $1.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 22/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.78 $0.9700 Fair Value $1.96 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9700 – $10.78 · fair‑value band $1.46 – $2.44 · the $1.67 price screens below the $1.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

New Found Gold Corp (NFGC) currently trades at $1.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $15.7M. It earns a return on equity of -24.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $57.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.46 (bear case) to $2.44 (bull case); at $1.67, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 17%, NFGC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.5500 $0.7300 $1.09 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5500 $0.7300 $1.09 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $15.7M
Return on equity -24.9%
Free cash flow −$56.9M FY2025
Operating margin -182%
EPS (TTM) $-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -77.8%
More key figures
Net cash $57.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

New Found Gold Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral properties in the Provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The company primarily explores for gold deposit.

Full company description

New Found Gold Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral properties in the Provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The company primarily explores for gold deposit. It holds 100% interests in the Queensway project that includes 103 mineral licenses and 7,018 claims covering an area of 175,600 hectares located near Gander, Newfoundland; and the Kingsway project located in Gander, Newfoundland. The company was formerly known as Palisade Resources Corp. and changed its name to New Found Gold Corp. in June 2017. New Found Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

New Found Gold Corp reported revenue of $5.8M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$47.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $5.8M
Net income
FY21 −$50.6M
FY22 −$90.0M
FY23 −$79.9M
FY24 −$34.9M
FY25 −$47.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Found Gold Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFGC

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Top 25%
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -182% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 39.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 56 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New Found Gold Corp (NFGC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.96 versus a price of $1.67, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NFGC?
Our model-based fair value for New Found Gold Corp is $1.96 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.67.
What is the quality score of NFGC?
New Found Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of New Found Gold Corp (NFGC)?
New Found Gold Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.7M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NFGC?
The net profit margin of New Found Gold Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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