National Fertilizers Limited (NFL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹36.9B
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ₹54.20 (bear) to ₹91.61 (bull), base ₹73.29. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹36.94 – ₹157.07 · fair‑value band ₹54.20 – ₹91.61 · the ₹72.47 price screens below the ₹73.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
National Fertilizers Limited (NFL) currently trades at ₹72.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹73.29, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, National Fertilizers Limited generated revenue of ₹215B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at ₹39.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹54.20 (bear case) to ₹91.61 (bull case); at ₹72.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 1%, NFL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹275.27) versus Dividend Discount (₹25.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
National Fertilizers Limited engages in the production and marketing of neem coated urea, bio-fertilizers, and other allied Industrial products in India. It operates through Manufactured Fertilizers, Manufactured Chemicals, Traded Imported Fertilizers, and Others segments.
Full company description
National Fertilizers Limited engages in the production and marketing of neem coated urea, bio-fertilizers, and other allied Industrial products in India. It operates through Manufactured Fertilizers, Manufactured Chemicals, Traded Imported Fertilizers, and Others segments. The company offers urea; bentonite sulphur; and bio fertilizers, including rhizobium, azectobactor and PSB, and zinc solubilizing bacteria. It also provides industrial products comprising ammonia, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and sodium nitrite and nitrate under the KISAN brand name, as well as seeds under the Kisan Beej brand name. In addition, the company trades in compost, agrochemicals, seeds, and other agro products. National Fertilizers Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Noida, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
National Fertilizers Limited reported revenue of ₹215B in FY2026 versus ₹49.1B in FY2022, a compound +44.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.1B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +14.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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