New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of New Frontier Minerals Ltd A$0.02, price A$0.01, upside +300.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.0510 · fair‑value band A$0.0100 – A$0.0200 · the A$0.0050 price screens below the A$0.0200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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New Frontier Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and examination of mineral properties primarily in Australia and Zambia. It primarily explores for copper, cobalt, silver, gold, lead, niobium, uranium, and zinc deposits, as well as rare earth elements.
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New Frontier Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and examination of mineral properties primarily in Australia and Zambia. It primarily explores for copper, cobalt, silver, gold, lead, niobium, uranium, and zinc deposits, as well as rare earth elements. The company holds interest in Harts Range project located in north-east from Alice Springs and NWQ Copper Project located in north of Mt Isa in Queensland. It also holds option to acquire 90% of Pomme REE Project, consists of 43 mineral claims, covering approximately nine square miles located in northwest of Montreal in Quebec. The company was formerly known as Castillo Copper Limited and changed its name to New Frontier Minerals Limited in December 2024. New Frontier Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0200, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0100 (bear) to A$0.0200 (bull), the price of A$0.0050 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
New Frontier Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$23.0K in FY2025 versus A$620 in FY2022, a compound +233.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.4M (≈ $7.3M) · Return on equity −12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.2% · Operating margin −1,489% · Revenue (TTM) A$23.3K · Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3% · Free cash flow −A$1.3M · Net cash A$1.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 300%, NFM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0100Fair Value A$0.0200Bull A$0.0200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+233.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−263,371.0% (2022) → −6,395.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 354 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Frontier Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFM
Frequently asked questions
Is New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0200 versus a price of A$0.0050, about +300% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NFM?
Our model-based fair value for New Frontier Minerals Ltd is A$0.0200 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0050.
What is the quality score of NFM?
New Frontier Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0200 (as of Jun 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0100, optimistic scenario A$0.0200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Frontier Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0200, about +300% upside versus a price of A$0.0050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0100, optimistic scenario A$0.0200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
New Frontier Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$23.3K (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Frontier Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0200 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026), against a price of A$0.0050. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Frontier Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 25, 2026, NFM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0050, fair value A$0.0200, a gap of about +300% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NFM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0200). For New Frontier Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Frontier Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values New Frontier Minerals Ltd at about A$10.4M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 25, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NFM?
Our models span a range for New Frontier Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0100, base A$0.0200, optimistic A$0.0200 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026, price A$0.0050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Frontier Minerals Ltd (as of Jun 25, 2026): return on equity −12.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NFM from its 52-week high?
New Frontier Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0050, about 81% below its 52-week high of A$0.0270 and at the low of A$0.0050 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Frontier Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Frontier Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 25, 2026: price A$0.0050, calculated fair value A$0.0200 (+300%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NFM calculated?
We run New Frontier Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. New Frontier Minerals Ltd currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0200, about +300% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Frontier Minerals Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0100 to A$0.0200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of New Frontier Minerals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
The market capitalisation of New Frontier Minerals Ltd is A$10.4M (≈ $7.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Frontier Minerals Ltd is −12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Frontier Minerals Ltd is −20.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
The operating margin of New Frontier Minerals Ltd is −1,489% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM)?
Revenue at New Frontier Minerals Ltd is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +233%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM) generate?
The free cash flow of New Frontier Minerals Ltd is −A$1.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does New Frontier Minerals Ltd (NFM) hold?
New Frontier Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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