Northern Graphite Corporation (NGC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$23.2M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −7.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 63% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (20/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.1445). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0550 – C$0.8800 · fair‑value band C$0.1445 – C$0.2380 · the C$0.1200 price screens below the C$0.1955 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Northern Graphite Corporation (NGC) currently trades at C$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1955, implying the stock looks roughly 62.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$15.2M. Revenue declined 65.5% year over year. Net debt stands at C$44.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1445 (bear case) to C$0.2380 (bull case); at C$0.1200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 63%, NGC screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Northern Graphite Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of graphite and other mineral properties in Canada and Namibia. The company offers natural flake graphite; and Porocarb, a porous hard carbon material.
Full company description
Northern Graphite Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of graphite and other mineral properties in Canada and Namibia. The company offers natural flake graphite; and Porocarb, a porous hard carbon material. It also provides lab services to third parties; and engages in battery materials business. The company operates The Lac des Iles Mine, The Okanjande Mine, and The Bissett Creek Project mines. The company was formerly known as Industrial Minerals Canada Inc. and changed its name to Northern Graphite Corporation in March 2010. Northern Graphite Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Northern Graphite Corporation reported revenue of C$25.0M in FY2025 versus C$3.7M in FY2021, a compound +61.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$21.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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