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NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD (NIITMTS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹32.5B

NL NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD NIITMTS · NSE
Price₹239.01
Fair Value₹325.97
Upside+36.4%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.39% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range ₹245.87 – ₹434.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹245.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

₹559.99 ₹207.45 Fair Value ₹325.97 Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range ₹207.45 – ₹559.99 · fair‑value band ₹245.87 – ₹434.70 · the ₹239.01 price screens below the ₹325.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD (NIITMTS) currently trades at ₹239.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹325.97, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD generated revenue of ₹19.5B at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹765M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹245.87 (bear case) to ₹434.70 (bull case); at ₹239.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 36%, NIITMTS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹299.99 ₹579.68 ₹1,038 80
Residual Income ₹120.19 ₹164.06 ₹601.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹212.71 ₹350.86 ₹641.32 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹317.93 ₹491.10 ₹1,043 38
Owner Earnings ₹334.94 ₹741.81 ₹1,596 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹195.12 ₹308.47 ₹544.24 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹280.13 ₹480.37 ₹872.94 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹323.12 ₹705.86 ₹1,228 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹228.58 ₹441.90 ₹564.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹296.03 ₹624.96 ₹1,194 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹327.39 ₹717.52 ₹1,360 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹122.49 ₹854.24 ₹1,199 54
Lynch FV ₹441.33 ₹630.47 ₹819.62 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹441.33 ₹630.47 ₹819.62 46
EPV ₹159.59 ₹183.52 ₹204.46 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹27.38 ₹56.92 ₹90.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹27.38 ₹48.00 ₹59.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹297.22 ₹396.30 ₹495.37 63
P/S Multiple ₹127.75 ₹170.33 ₹212.91 58
P/B Multiple ₹229.67 ₹306.23 ₹382.79 55
EV/EBIT ₹301.46 ₹396.62 ₹491.78 53
EV/EBITDA ₹256.30 ₹336.40 ₹416.50 54
EV/Revenue ₹135.22 ₹186.32 ₹237.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹56.10 ₹75.17 ₹112.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹299.99 ₹579.68 ₹1,038 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹212.71 ₹350.86 ₹641.32 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹120.19 ₹164.06 ₹601.18 76
ROIC Compounder ₹208.43 ₹299.07 ₹370.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹585.84 ₹836.91 ₹1,088 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹836.91) versus Dividend Discount (₹48.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹19.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 18.0%
Free cash flow ₹2.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹17.67
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +58.8%
Net cash ₹765M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NIIT Learning Systems Limited provides managed training services in India, the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its managed training services include custom content and curriculum design, learning administration and delivery, strategic sourcing, learning technology, and learning and development (L&D) consulting services.

Full company description

NIIT Learning Systems Limited provides managed training services in India, the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its managed training services include custom content and curriculum design, learning administration and delivery, strategic sourcing, learning technology, and learning and development (L&D) consulting services. The company also offers specialized learning solutions, such as AI-powered L&D transformation, digital and IT training, immersive learning, customer education, talent pipeline as a service, and HCM technology and consulting services, as well as leadership and professional development training services; and generative artificial intelligence learning services. It serves technology and telecom; consulting and professional service; life sciences and healthcare; energy and commodities; aerospace and aviation; banking and financial service; manufacturing and industrial; consumer products and retail; insurance; humanitarian and NGO; real estate; and automotive industries. The company was formerly known as Mindchampion Learning Systems Limited and changed its name to NIIT Learning Systems Limited in January 2022. NIIT Learning Systems Limited was founded in 1981 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD reported revenue of ₹19.5B in FY2026 versus ₹11.3B in FY2022, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹19.5B
Latest YoY
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+172.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.0%
Revenue +14.6%/yr
FY22 ₹11.3B
FY23 ₹13.6B
FY24 ₹15.5B
FY25 ₹16.5B
FY26 ₹19.5B
Net income +5.2%/yr
FY22 ₹2.0B
FY23 ₹1.9B
FY24 ₹2.1B
FY25 ₹2.3B
FY26 ₹2.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIITMTS

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.67× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 82 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 72 · sector 19
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD (NIITMTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹325.97 versus a price of ₹239.01, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NIITMTS?
Our model-based fair value for NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD is ₹325.97 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹239.01.
What is the quality score of NIITMTS?
NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD (NIITMTS)?
NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹19.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIITMTS?
The net profit margin of NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD pay a dividend?
NIIT LEARNING SYSTEMS LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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