NILE LTD. (NILE) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹5.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹3,129 to ₹1,828 (−41.6%) since Aug 12, 2026.
A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ₹1,368 (bear) to ₹2,286 (bull), base ₹1,828. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹298.59 – ₹2,707 · fair‑value band ₹1,368 – ₹2,286 · the ₹1,542 price screens below the ₹1,828 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
NILE LTD. (NILE) currently trades at ₹1,542, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,828, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NILE LTD. generated revenue of ₹10.4B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 20.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.0%. Net debt stands at ₹210M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,368 (bear case) to ₹2,286 (bull case); at ₹1,542, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 19%, NILE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹4,278) versus Asset-Based (₹705.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nile Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of pure lead for battery consumption in India and internationally. The company provides pure lead antimony, lead selenium, lead calcium, lead tin, and pure lead. It serves its products to manufacturers of lead acid batteries, PVC stabilizers, and lead-oxide.
Full company description
Nile Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of pure lead for battery consumption in India and internationally. The company provides pure lead antimony, lead selenium, lead calcium, lead tin, and pure lead. It serves its products to manufacturers of lead acid batteries, PVC stabilizers, and lead-oxide. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
NILE LTD. reported revenue of ₹10.4B in FY2026 versus ₹7.0B in FY2022, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹553M in FY2026, compounding +23.4%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 484 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 216.56 MXN | 173.04 MXN | -20% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 233.40 MXN | 139.49 MXN | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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