NILE LTD. (NILE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of NILE LTD. ₹1,828, price ₹1,246, upside +46.8%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹365.51 – ₹2,707 · fair‑value band ₹1,184 – ₹2,458 · the ₹1,246 price screens below the ₹1,828 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow NILE in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether NILE is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Nile Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of pure lead for battery consumption in India and internationally. The company provides pure lead antimony, lead selenium, lead calcium, lead tin, and pure lead. It serves its products to manufacturers of lead acid batteries, PVC stabilizers, and lead-oxide.
Show more
Nile Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of pure lead for battery consumption in India and internationally. The company provides pure lead antimony, lead selenium, lead calcium, lead tin, and pure lead. It serves its products to manufacturers of lead acid batteries, PVC stabilizers, and lead-oxide. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
NILE LTD. (NILE) currently trades at ₹1,246, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,828, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹3,525 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹1,246 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹705.63, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹1,184 (bear) to ₹2,458 (bull), the price of ₹1,246 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
NILE LTD. reported revenue of ₹10.4B in FY2026 versus ₹7.0B in FY2022, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹553M in FY2026, compounding +23.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹5.3B (≈ $54.9M) · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) ₹183.61 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 47%, NILE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,184Fair Value ₹1,828Bull ₹2,458
Price ₹1,246 · Upside +46.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹91.51 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+28.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.32.0% vs 7.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 7%
2026 sits 77% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 374 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+46.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NILE LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NILE
Frequently asked questions
Is NILE LTD. (NILE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,828 versus a price of ₹1,246, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NILE?
Our model-based fair value for NILE LTD. is ₹1,828 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,246.
What is the quality score of NILE?
NILE LTD. has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,828 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,184, optimistic scenario ₹2,458. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NILE LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,828, about +47% upside versus a price of ₹1,246 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,184, optimistic scenario ₹2,458. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
NILE LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹10.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does NILE LTD. pay a dividend?
NILE LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into NILE LTD. (NILE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NILE LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by -5.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NILE use?
Our models discount NILE LTD. at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NILE LTD. that is -5.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NILE LTD. (NILE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NILE LTD. grew +14.2 % a year. The price currently implies -5.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NILE LTD. (NILE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NILE LTD. (-5.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.61 %: that much free cash flow NILE LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NILE LTD. it is ₹1,828 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹1,246. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NILE LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, NILE trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹1,246, fair value ₹1,828, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NILE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,246); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,828). For NILE LTD. the two are ₹582.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NILE LTD. worth?
The market values NILE LTD. at about ₹5.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,246; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,828 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NILE?
Our models span a range for NILE LTD.: cautious scenario ₹1,184, base ₹1,828, optimistic ₹2,458 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹1,246). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NILE?
NILE LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,828 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Balance-sheet figures for NILE LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NILE from its 52-week high?
NILE LTD. trades at ₹1,246, about 36% below its 52-week high of ₹1,944 and 2% above the low of ₹1,225 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,828 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NILE LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NILE LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹1,246, calculated fair value ₹1,828 (+47%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NILE calculated?
We run NILE LTD. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,828, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. NILE LTD. currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,246. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,828, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NILE LTD. right now?
Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹1,184 to ₹2,458) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of NILE LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The market capitalisation of NILE LTD. is ₹5.3B (≈ $54.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NILE LTD. is 0.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Earnings per share at NILE LTD. are ₹183.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The dividend yield of NILE LTD. is 0.4% (payout 2.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The net margin of NILE LTD. is 5.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NILE LTD. is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NILE LTD. is 17.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NILE LTD. (NILE)?
The operating margin of NILE LTD. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Revenue at NILE LTD. is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NILE LTD. (NILE)?
Earnings per share at NILE LTD. are growing +46.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NILE LTD. (NILE) carry?
The net debt of NILE LTD. is ₹210M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch NILE LTD. in the live analysis
One click puts NILE LTD. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
