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Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk IDR 1,959, price IDR 1,265, upside +54.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · ID · ISIN ID1000094402

BO Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk

NISP · JK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value 1,959 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+55%)
!Quality 56/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.2 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 40.3% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Wide moat 68/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,528 IDR 471.70 IDR Fair Value 1,959 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 471.70 IDR – 1,528 IDR · fair‑value band 1,722 IDR – 3,263 IDR · the 1,265 IDR price screens below the 1,959 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk provides various banking products and services to corporate and individual customers in Indonesia. The company operates through Business banking, Consumer banking, Global markets and Others segments.

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PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk provides various banking products and services to corporate and individual customers in Indonesia. The company operates through Business banking, Consumer banking, Global markets and Others segments. It offers savings and current accounts; time deposits; house, multipurpose, automobile, personal, secured, business, working capital, mortgage, and investment backed loans; credit and debit cards; mutual funds, insurance products, FX products, bonds, and structured and gold products; and premier and private banking services. The company also provides payment and collection, trade and supply chain financing, and export and import financing services; payroll and benefit products; treasury products; capital equity; account investment products; and web and mobile banking, and payment gateway services, as well as e-wallet and bill payment services. In addition, it offers bank reference, bank comfort, and confirmation letters; safe deposit boxes; bank notes; telegraphic transfers; and ATM, remittance, and e-tax services. The company was formerly known as PT Bank NISP Tbk. The company was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk operates as a subsidiary of OCBC Overseas Investments Pte. Ltd.

Stock analysis

Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) currently trades at 1,265 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,959 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2,676 IDR per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the 1,265 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,281 IDR, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1,722 IDR (bear) to 3,263 IDR (bull), the price of 1,265 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk reported revenue of 21.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 13.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 29.0T IDR (≈ $2.9B) · P/E ratio 5.7 · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) 223.44 IDR · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 24.0% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 55%, NISP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,722 IDR Fair Value 1,959 IDR Bull 3,263 IDR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (130.53 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1,780 IDR 2,093 IDR 4,002 IDR 73
DDM Multi-Stage 1,020 IDR 1,823 IDR 2,320 IDR 66
Gordon GGM 1,020 IDR 2,226 IDR 3,745 IDR 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,020 IDR 2,226 IDR 3,745 IDR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 1,020 IDR 1,823 IDR 2,320 IDR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,149 IDR 2,865 IDR 3,582 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 2,007 IDR 2,676 IDR 3,345 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 955.67 IDR 1,281 IDR 1,911 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,780 IDR 2,093 IDR 4,002 IDR 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 13%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks

Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)71 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 77.80 SGD 40.48 SGD −48%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$51.65 HK$64.29 +24%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.73 €4.04 −40%
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹738.60 ₹418.52 −43%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €101.30 €105.99 +5%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €83.28 €77.62 −7%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.87 $6.75 −38%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,340 ₹636.31 −53%
The PNC Financial Services Group PNC $227.96 $159.52 −30%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 32.14 SGD 19.80 SGD −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,959 IDR versus a price of 1,265 IDR, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NISP?
Our model-based fair value for Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 1,959 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,265 IDR.
What is the quality score of NISP?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,959 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,722 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,263 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,959 IDR, about +55% upside versus a price of 1,265 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,722 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,263 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk pay a dividend?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -18.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NISP use?
Our models discount Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk that is -18.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk grew +7.2 % a year. The price currently implies -18.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (-18.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.57 %: that much free cash flow Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk it is 1,959 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,265 IDR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NISP trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,265 IDR, fair value 1,959 IDR, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NISP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,265 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,959 IDR). For Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk the two are 694.27 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk worth?
The market values Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk at about 29.0T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,265 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,959 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NISP?
Our models span a range for Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk: cautious scenario 1,722 IDR, base 1,959 IDR, optimistic 3,263 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,265 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NISP?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,959 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 2.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NISP from its 52-week high?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk trades at 1,265 IDR, about 17% below its 52-week high of 1,528 IDR and 13% above the low of 1,120 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,959 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,265 IDR, calculated fair value 1,959 IDR (+55%), Quality Score 56/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NISP calculated?
We run Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,959 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,265 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,959 IDR, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,722 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1,722 IDR to 3,263 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) come from?
Earnings per share at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk grew +13.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin +4.5 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The market capitalisation of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 29.0T IDR (≈ $2.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 1.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Earnings per share at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk are 223.44 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The dividend yield of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 3.6% (payout 20.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The net margin of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 24.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
The operating margin of Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is 50.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Revenue at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk is growing −3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP)?
Earnings per share at Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk are growing +5.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk (NISP) hold?
Bank Ocbc Nisp Tbk holds more cash than debt, 2.7T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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