Nobia AB (NOBI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 2.1B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +20.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 2.17 to kr 21.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 12.88 – kr 239.45 · fair‑value band kr 2.17 – kr 21.62 · the kr 15.87 price screens above the kr 10.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Nobia AB (NOBI) currently trades at kr 15.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.85, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nobia AB generated revenue of 5.6B SEK at a net margin of -58.9%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.2%. Net debt stands at 5.7B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 2.17 (bear case) to kr 21.62 (bull case); at kr 15.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -32%, NOBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 31.28) versus Asset-Based (kr 4.19). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 18 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nobia AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Iceland, and internationally. It provides installation services for kitchen and other products.
Full company description
Nobia AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Iceland, and internationally. It provides installation services for kitchen and other products. The company sells its products under the various brands including CIE, Commodore, Gower, HTH, Invita, Magnet, Marbodal, Norema, Novart, Sigdal, Superfront, and uno form brands. In addition, it sells its products through own stores, franchise stores, builder merchants, DIY stores and other retailers. Nobia AB (publ) was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nobia AB reported revenue of kr 5.6B in FY2025 versus kr 13.7B in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.0B in FY2025.
NOBI screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥50.13 | ¥54.11 | +8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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