Nobia AB (NOBI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nobia AB SEK 10.85, price SEK 13.68, upside -20.7%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 12.88 – kr 239.45 · fair‑value band kr 2.17 – kr 21.62 · the kr 13.68 price screens above the kr 10.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Nobia AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Iceland, and internationally. It provides installation services for kitchen and other products.
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Nobia AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Iceland, and internationally. It provides installation services for kitchen and other products. The company sells its products under the various brands including CIE, Commodore, Gower, HTH, Invita, Magnet, Marbodal, Norema, Novart, Sigdal, Superfront, and uno form brands. In addition, it sells its products through own stores, franchise stores, builder merchants, DIY stores and other retailers. Nobia AB (publ) was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Nobia AB (NOBI) currently trades at kr 13.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.85, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: kr 2.17 (bear) to kr 21.62 (bull), the price of kr 13.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nobia AB reported revenue of 5.6B SEK in FY2025 versus 13.7B SEK in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B SEK (≈ $212M) · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) kr −6.96 · Net margin −52.8% · Return on equity −21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin 5.1% · Revenue (TTM) 5.6B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −21%, NOBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 2.17Fair Value kr 10.85Bull kr 21.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−46.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.4% (2020) → −0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
P/B0.22× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nobia AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOBI
Frequently asked questions
Is Nobia AB (NOBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 10.85 versus a price of kr 13.68, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NOBI?
Our model-based fair value for Nobia AB is kr 10.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 13.68.
What is the quality score of NOBI?
Nobia AB has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 10.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.17, optimistic scenario kr 21.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nobia AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 10.85, about −21% upside versus a price of kr 13.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.17, optimistic scenario kr 21.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Nobia AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nobia AB it is kr 10.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 13.68. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nobia AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NOBI trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 13.68, fair value kr 10.85, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NOBI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 13.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 10.85). For Nobia AB the two are kr 2.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nobia AB worth?
The market values Nobia AB at about 2.1B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 13.68; our models calculate a fair value of kr 10.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NOBI?
Our models span a range for Nobia AB: cautious scenario kr 2.17, base kr 10.85, optimistic kr 21.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 13.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NOBI?
The PEG ratio of Nobia AB is 0.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nobia AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −21.2%, debt of 3.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NOBI from its 52-week high?
Nobia AB trades at kr 13.68, about 63% below its 52-week high of kr 37.11 and 6% above the low of kr 12.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 10.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nobia AB?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nobia AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 13.68, calculated fair value kr 10.85 (−21%), Quality Score 19/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NOBI calculated?
We run Nobia AB through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 10.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nobia AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 13.68. Our model-based fair value is kr 10.85, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nobia AB right now?
Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (kr 2.17 to kr 21.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Nobia AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The market capitalisation of Nobia AB is 2.1B SEK (≈ $212M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nobia AB is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Earnings per share at Nobia AB are kr −6.96. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The net margin of Nobia AB is −52.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nobia AB is −21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nobia AB is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nobia AB (NOBI)?
The operating margin of Nobia AB is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Revenue at Nobia AB is growing −1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nobia AB (NOBI)?
Earnings per share at Nobia AB are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nobia AB (NOBI) generate?
The free cash flow of Nobia AB is −345M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nobia AB (NOBI) carry?
The net debt of Nobia AB is 5.7B SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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