Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOCG34) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$396B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$481.50 – R$742.83 · fair‑value band R$45.64 – R$125.14 · the R$532.48 price screens above the R$78.85 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOCG34) currently trades at R$532.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$78.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Northrop Grumman Corporation generated revenue of R$42.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. Net debt stands at R$10.8B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$45.64 (bear case) to R$125.14 (bull case); at R$532.48, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside — at -85%, NOCG34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic, surveillance and reconnaissance systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, and missile defense solutions; and provides sustainment, modernization, and training services for manned and unmanned aircraft and electronics systems. This segment also offers strategic missiles; …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Northrop Grumman Corporation reported revenue of R$42.0B in FY2025 versus R$35.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$4.2B in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Chamber of Commerce Fights Proposed Stock Buyback Ban on Defense Contractors
- Union Pacific (UNP) Just Hauled NASA Moon Rocket Parts on a Locomotive Dedicated to Donald Trump
- 1 Oversold Stock Ready to Bounce Back and 2 We Ignore
- Northrop Grumman (NOC) Honors Grant Jewell After Global ORBIE Cybersecurity Award
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | C$46.59 | C$22.78 | -51% |
| RTX Corporation RYTT34 | R$154.00 | R$88.18 | -43% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €206.30 | €92.85 | -55% |
| The Boeing Company BCO | €198.20 | €51.07 | -74% |
| Safran SA SAFRY | $94.69 | $58.09 | -39% |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings RYCEY | $18.53 | $9.42 | -49% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMTB34 | R$2,691 | R$2,031 | -25% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $280.36 | $51.38 | -82% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | 5,976 MXN | 5,612 MXN | -6% |
| BAE Systems plc BSP | €21.00 | €12.55 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.