Airbus SE (1AIR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Airbus SE is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Industrials · IT · Market cap €162B · ISIN NL0000235190
At a glance
ASAirbus SE1AIR · MI
Price€199.98
Fair Value€86.20
Upside−56.9%
Quality51/100
A solid business, but trading 132% above our fair value of €86.20.
As of Sep 7, 2026, the fair value of Airbus SE is €86.20 per share against a price of €199.98, so the fair value sits 57% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +7.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.60% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: HighRange €58.36 to €116.06
Fair value as of: Sep 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −6.7% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€116.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range (€58.36 to €116.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €82.59 – €216.17 · fair‑value band €58.36 – €116.06 · the €199.98 price screens above the €86.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 7, 2026.
Airbus SE (1AIR) currently trades at €199.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €86.20, implying the stock looks roughly 132.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €102.25 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the €199.98 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €22.22, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Airbus SE generated revenue of €72.5B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 31.6. Fundamentals as of Sep 7, 2026
Scenario range: €58.36 (bear) to €116.06 (bull), the price of €199.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −57%, 1AIR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.15 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio31.6
P/S ratio2.25P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)€6.32price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.6
Dividend yield1.6%payout 50.6%
Net margin7.1%FY2025
Return on equity19.8%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)4.0%avg 5y
Operating margin1.5%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)€72.5BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−6.6%3y avg +7.7%
EPS growth (YoY)−26.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow€4.0BFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality51/100
Of which business quality 50
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Profitability39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Airbus SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters, and Airbus Defence and Space.
Full company description
Airbus SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters, and Airbus Defence and Space. The Airbus segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells commercial jet passenger aircraft, freighter aircraft, regional turboprop aircraft, and aircraft components, as well as provides aircraft conversion and related services. The Airbus Helicopters segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells civil and military helicopters; and provides uncrewed aerial systems and their related services. The Airbus Defence and Space segment designs, develops, delivers, and supports crewed and uncrewed military air systems and related services. This segment also offers civil and defence space systems for telecommunications, earth observations, navigation, and science and orbital systems; and services around data processing from platforms, secure communication, and cyber security. The company was formerly known as Airbus Group SE and changed its name to Airbus SE in April 2017. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Airbus SE reported revenue of €73.4B in FY2025 versus €52.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was €5.2B in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€73.4B
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+4.3%
Dividend yield1.6%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.3% (2021) → 7.1% (2025) · falling
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Airbus SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1AIR
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 225 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−57% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)31.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B7.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF46.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA23.6× · Pricier than median
PEG1.73× · Pricier than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Airbus SE deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+14.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 4 years+8.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.6 %
FCF yield on price2.56 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.7 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE0· sector 50
PAST79· sector 38
HEALTH87· sector 93
DIVIDEND32· sector 16
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
WeaponsDefense
Similar stocks
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As of Sep 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €86.20 versus a price of €199.98, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1AIR?
Our model-based fair value for Airbus SE is €86.20 (as of Sep 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €199.98.
What is the quality score of 1AIR?
Airbus SE has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Airbus SE (1AIR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €86.20 (as of Sep 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €58.36, optimistic scenario €116.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Airbus SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €86.20, about −57% upside versus a price of €199.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €58.36, optimistic scenario €116.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Airbus SE (1AIR)?
Airbus SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €72.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1AIR?
The net profit margin of Airbus SE is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Airbus SE pay a dividend?
Airbus SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Airbus SE (1AIR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Airbus SE would have to grow free cash flow by +14.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.7 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +8.9 % per year. As of Sep 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1AIR use?
Our models discount Airbus SE at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.88. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Airbus SE (1AIR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Airbus SE it is €86.20 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026), against a price of €199.98. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Airbus SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 7, 2026, 1AIR trades above its calculated fair value: price €199.98, fair value €86.20, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1AIR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€199.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€86.20). For Airbus SE the two are €113.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Airbus SE worth?
The market values Airbus SE at about €162B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 7, 2026). Per share that is €199.98; our models calculate a fair value of €86.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1AIR?
Our models span a range for Airbus SE: cautious scenario €58.36, base €86.20, optimistic €116.06 per share (as of Sep 7, 2026, price €199.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1AIR?
Airbus SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.6 (as of Sep 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €86.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 7.2, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 23.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 1AIR?
The PEG ratio of Airbus SE is 1.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Airbus SE (1AIR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Airbus SE (as of Sep 7, 2026): return on equity 19.8%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1AIR from its 52-week high?
Airbus SE trades at €199.98, about 8% below its 52-week high of €217.40 and 30% above the low of €154.28 (as of Sep 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €86.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Airbus SE?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Howmet Aerospace Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Airbus SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 7, 2026: price €199.98, calculated fair value €86.20 (−57%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1AIR calculated?
We run Airbus SE through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €86.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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