Black Sea Property A/S (BSP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · NO · Market cap 13.9M NOK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +6.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (8/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 1.97 to kr 3.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.0317 – kr 49.14 · fair‑value band kr 1.97 – kr 3.94 · the kr 3.20 price screens above the kr 2.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Black Sea Property A/S (BSP) currently trades at kr 3.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.64, implying the stock looks roughly 17.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 8/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 10.2M NOK. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. Net debt stands at 195M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.97 (bear case) to kr 3.94 (bull case); at kr 3.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -18%, BSP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 9 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Black Sea Property AS engages in the operation of holiday resort under the Aheloy Beach Resort name in Bulgaria. It is also involved in real estate investment; and property development and rental businesses. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Oslo, Norway.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Black Sea Property A/S reported revenue of kr 5.2M in FY2025 versus kr 0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −kr 98.7M in FY2025.
BSP screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $354.58 | $132.35 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $322.53 | $122.02 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | -74% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹723.35 | ₹253.67 | -65% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 118,200 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -69% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
| Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 | 81.95 SAR | 36.25 SAR | -56% |
| Minor International Public Company MINT | 22.90 THB | 32.82 THB | +43% |
| Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co 600754 | ¥19.48 | ¥22.37 | +15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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