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Northern Oil and Gas, Inc (NOG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.4B

Price$19.42
Fair Value$13.38
Upside-31.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $13.38 – $14.70

Analysis

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc (NOG) currently trades at $19.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.38 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.