Nippon Kayaku Co (NPKYY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.0B
Nippon Kayaku Co
NPKYY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $9.94 (bear) to $15.73 (bull), base $10.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.83 – $13.30 · fair‑value band $9.94 – $15.73 · the $13.16 price screens above the $10.84 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Nippon Kayaku Co (NPKYY) currently trades at $13.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.84, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Kayaku Co generated revenue of $242B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $852M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.94 (bear case) to $15.73 (bull case); at $13.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -18%, NPKYY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.24) versus Growth DCF ($2.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. engages in mobility and imaging, fine chemicals, and life sciences businesses in Japan. The company offers airbag inflators, micro gas generators for seatbelt pretensioners and squib; and liquid crystal display (LCD) projector and display, and x-ray analysis system components.
Full company description
Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. engages in mobility and imaging, fine chemicals, and life sciences businesses in Japan. The company offers airbag inflators, micro gas generators for seatbelt pretensioners and squib; and liquid crystal display (LCD) projector and display, and x-ray analysis system components. It also provides epoxy and maleimide resin, epoxy resin hardener, reactive flame retardant, acrylic acid esters, UV-curable resins for resist, resist for MEMS, cleaners for LCDs and semiconductors, and LCD sealants, as well as semiconductor manufacturing equipment, such as laminator, remover, mounter, UV irradiation equipment; colorants for inkjet printers, dyes for inkjet textile printing, inks for industrial inkjet printers, image sensor materials, dichotomous colorants for dimmable glass, near infrared absorbers, dyes for textiles and paper, colorants for resins, developers for thermal paper, and pigment derivative; and catalysts for the production of acrylic acid, acrolein, and methacrylic acid. In addition, the company offers Anti-cancer and biological drugs, cardiovascular and photodynamic diagnostic agents, in-vitro diagnostic drugs, embolization materials, pharmaceutical API and intermediates, food additives, health food ingredients, preservatives for food quality, and cleaners and disinfectants; Insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, miticides, public health insecticides, soil fumigants, and animal repellents; and engages in real estate business. The company was formerly known as Nihon Kayaku Seizou Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. in 1945. Nippon Kayaku Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1916 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Kayaku Co reported revenue of $256B in FY2026 versus $185B in FY2022, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $26.1B in FY2026, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2022.
NPKYY screens 18% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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