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Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, (NPNYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $13.1B

NY Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, logo Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, NPNYY · US
Price$7.78
Fair Value$9.45
Upside+21.5%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.39% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $7.95 – $14.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +17.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$8.00 $1.44 Fair Value $9.45 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.44 – $8.00 · fair‑value band $7.95 – $14.13 · the $7.78 price screens below the $9.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, (NPNYY) currently trades at $7.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.45, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, generated revenue of $2.4T at a net margin of 8.7%. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at $991B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.95 (bear case) to $14.13 (bull case); at $7.78, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 21%, NPNYY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.69 $7.21 $10.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.16 $5.44 $7.89 74
ROIC Compounder $0.8669 $1.29 $1.66 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.50 $7.20 $11.04 38
Owner Earnings $1.34 $2.66 $4.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.16 $5.35 $8.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.44 $11.16 $16.43 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.96 $12.10 $17.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3.48 $5.53 $8.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.65 $9.45 $14.12 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.98 $10.08 $14.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.96 $11.42 $14.65 54
PEG = 1.0 $1.92 $2.74 $3.56 46
EPV $0.8669 $1.29 $1.66 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.49 $15.32 $19.15 63
P/S Multiple $9.30 $12.40 $15.51 58
P/B Multiple $9.30 $12.40 $15.51 55
EV/EBIT $4.41 $6.44 $8.47 53
EV/EBITDA $8.87 $12.38 $15.89 54
EV/Revenue $2.67 $4.53 $6.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.01 $6.72 $10.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.69 $7.21 $10.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.16 $5.44 $7.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.19 $8.66 $9.41 61
ROIC Compounder $0.8669 $1.29 $1.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.65 $12.35 $16.06 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($12.38) versus Economic Profit ($1.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.4T
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow $179B FY2026
P/E ratio 10.3
Operating margin 6.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.6300
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -16.1%
Net debt $991B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers container ships transport, port cargo handling, and ship agency services; and operates container terminals and tugboats.

Full company description

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers container ships transport, port cargo handling, and ship agency services; and operates container terminals and tugboats. It also provides logistics services, including land transportation by truck and rail, customs clearance, and ocean and air freight forwarding services; supply chain management services comprising collection, storage, inspection, sorting, labeling, repackaging, delivery to specified destinations, and management and IT-based information management services; and transporting of completed vehicles, construction and heavy machinery, and used vehicles. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of dry bulk services; and energy transportation of products, such as crude oil, petroleum products, chemicals, liquefied petroleum gas, liquefied natural gas, coal, seismic survey vessels, drill ships, floating production storage and offloading units, and shuttle tankers for the upstream and midstream sectors. Further, it engages in operating cruise business; and renting out office buildings and residential properties. Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha was incorporated in 1885 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, reported revenue of $2.6T in FY2026 versus $2.3T in FY2022, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $225B in FY2026, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.6T
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+3.6%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY22 $2.3T
FY23 $2.6T
FY24 $2.4T
FY25 $2.6T
FY26 $2.6T
Net income −31.3%/yr
FY22 $1.0T
FY23 $1.0T
FY24 $229B
FY25 $478B
FY26 $225B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPNYY

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 28 · sector 27
HEALTH 88 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, (NPNYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.45 versus a price of $7.78, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPNYY?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, is $9.45 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.78.
What is the quality score of NPNYY?
Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, (NPNYY)?
Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4T (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPNYY?
The net profit margin of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, pay a dividend?
Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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