Nippon Sanso Holdings (NPXYY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $15.0B
Nippon Sanso Holdings
NPXYY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($9.22 to $22.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range $12.97 – $20.23 · fair‑value band $9.22 – $22.18 · the $19.25 price screens above the $16.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Nippon Sanso Holdings (NPXYY) currently trades at $19.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.13, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Sanso Holdings generated revenue of $1.4T at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at $717B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.22 (bear case) to $22.18 (bull case); at $19.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -16%, NPXYY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($16.23) versus Earnings-Based ($5.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of various industrial gases in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia, and Oceania.
Full company description
Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of various industrial gases in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia, and Oceania. It offers industrial gases for various industries; medical gases for hospitals and home-based care; and electronic material gases for manufacturing process of liquid-crystal and semiconductor; and various products under the Thermos name. The company was formerly known as Taiyo Nippon Sanso Corporation and changed its name to Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation in October 2020. Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan. Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation is a subsidiary of Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Sanso Holdings reported revenue of $1.4T in FY2026 versus $957B in FY2022, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $124B in FY2026, compounding +17.9%/yr from FY2022.
NPXYY screens 16% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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