PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk (NRCA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 1.2T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +15.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 109% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (705.46 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (705.46 IDR to 1,494 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 176.65 IDR – 1,839 IDR · fair‑value band 705.46 IDR – 1,494 IDR · the 525.00 IDR price screens below the 1,097 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk (NRCA) currently trades at 525.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,097 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 108.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk generated revenue of 3.6T IDR at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 328B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 705.46 IDR (bear case) to 1,494 IDR (bull case); at 525.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 109%, NRCA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,343 IDR) versus Growth DCF (326.23 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk provides construction services to commercial building and infrastructure in Indonesia. The company constructs hotels; offers wholesale and retail services; car and motorcycle repair and maintenance; processing industry; transportation and warehousing; and finance and insurance services.
Full company description
PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk provides construction services to commercial building and infrastructure in Indonesia. The company constructs hotels; offers wholesale and retail services; car and motorcycle repair and maintenance; processing industry; transportation and warehousing; and finance and insurance services. It is also involved in real estate sector; provision of accommodation, food, and beverage; rental and leasing; employment; travel agent and other supporting businesses; professional, scientific, and technical activities; arts, entertainment and recreation activities; agriculture, forestry, and fisheries business; and information and communication business. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk reported revenue of 3.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +21.3%/yr. Reported net income was 176B IDR in FY2025, compounding +59.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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