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NSTS Bancorp, Inc (NSTS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $66.4M

NB NSTS Bancorp, Inc logo NSTS Bancorp, Inc NSTS · US
Price$13.81
Fair Value$12.51
Upside-9.4%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.94 – $17.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.94 to $17.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.84 $8.31 Fair Value $12.51 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range $8.31 – $13.84 · fair‑value band $6.94 – $17.22 · the $13.81 price screens above the $12.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NSTS Bancorp, Inc (NSTS) currently trades at $13.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.51, implying the stock looks roughly 9.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, NSTS Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $10.3M at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.94 (bear case) to $17.22 (bull case); at $13.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -9%, NSTS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $6.22 $10.43 $13.53 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.22 $9.89 $11.22 61
NCAV (Graham) $8.27 $11.09 $16.55 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.22 $10.43 $13.53 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.22 $9.89 $11.22 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.27 $11.09 $16.55 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($11.09) versus Dividend Discount ($9.89). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin -1.0%
Return on equity -0.1%
Free cash flow $3.9M FY2025
Operating margin -1.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0200
Net cash $7.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. operates as a savings and loan holding company for North Shore Trust and Savings that provides banking products and services in Illinois.

Full company description

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. operates as a savings and loan holding company for North Shore Trust and Savings that provides banking products and services in Illinois. The company offers interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, and time deposit accounts; and one- to four-family residential mortgages, multifamily and commercial real estate mortgages, construction, consumer loans, other collateral and unsecured personal loans. It also provides online banking services. The company operates through full-service banking offices in Lake County, Illinois; and three loan production offices in Chicago, Plainfield, and Aurora. NSTS Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Waukegan, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NSTS Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $13.3M in FY2025 versus $6.1M in FY2021, a compound +21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$386K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.3M
Latest YoY
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue +21.3%/yr
FY21 $6.1M
FY22 $7.5M
FY23 $6.5M
FY24 $12.0M
FY25 $13.3M
Net income
FY21 −$55.0K
FY22 $27.0K
FY23 −$4.0M
FY24 −$789K
FY25 −$386K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NSTS Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSTS

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 39
FUTURE 77 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 83 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NSTS Bancorp, Inc (NSTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.51 versus a price of $13.81, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NSTS?
Our model-based fair value for NSTS Bancorp, Inc is $12.51 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.81.
What is the quality score of NSTS?
NSTS Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NSTS Bancorp, Inc (NSTS)?
NSTS Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NSTS?
The net profit margin of NSTS Bancorp, Inc is about -1.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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