Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd $51.97, price $58.11, upside -10.6%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.62 – $63.91 · fair‑value band $39.56 – $70.88 · the $58.11 price screens above the $51.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits.
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The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products and services, including residential mortgage lending, automobile lending, credit cards, consumer financing, overdraft facilities to retail customers, commercial real estate lending, and commercial and industrial loans. In addition, the company offers cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, custody administration, and settlement services. Further, it provides personal and business deposit services, residential and commercial mortgages, small and medium-sized enterprise and corporate loans, credit and debit cards, merchant acquiring, and mobile and internet banking services; and treasury services, wealth management, and fiduciary services. Additionally, the company offers discretionary investment management, managed portfolio services, money market, and mutual fund offerings, as well as advisory and self-directed brokerage options. It operates through offices in the Cayman Islands, Guernsey, Jersey, the United Kingdom, The Bahamas, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, Mauritius, and Canada, as well as Bermuda. The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Stock analysis
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) currently trades at $58.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.97, implying the stock looks roughly 11.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $48.09 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $58.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $19.32, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $39.56 (bear) to $70.88 (bull), the price of $58.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd reported revenue of $800M in FY2025 versus $522M in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was $232M in FY2025, compounding +9.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) $5.77 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 29.0% · Return on equity 22.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −11%, NTB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $39.56Fair Value $51.97Bull $70.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.80 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.9% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+46.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +43.2% a year for the forecasts.
Compare Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Diversified · 47 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)39% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)43% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTB
Frequently asked questions
Is Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $51.97 versus a price of $58.11, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTB?
Our model-based fair value for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is $51.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $58.11.
What is the quality score of NTB?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $51.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $39.56, optimistic scenario $70.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $51.97, about −11% upside versus a price of $58.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $39.56, optimistic scenario $70.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $613M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd pay a dividend?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NTB use?
Our models discount Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd grew +9.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.34 %: that much free cash flow Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd it is $51.97 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $58.11. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NTB trades above its calculated fair value: price $58.11, fair value $51.97, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NTB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($58.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($51.97). For Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd the two are $6.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd worth?
The market values Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $58.11; our models calculate a fair value of $51.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NTB?
Our models span a range for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd: cautious scenario $39.56, base $51.97, optimistic $70.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $58.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NTB?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $51.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 2.2, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
What is the PEG ratio of NTB?
The PEG ratio of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 1.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 22.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NTB from its 52-week high?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd trades at $58.11, about 9% below its 52-week high of $63.91 and 46% above the low of $39.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $51.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value JPMorgan Chase & Co, Bank of America Corporation, China Construction Bank Corporation, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $58.11, calculated fair value $51.97 (−11%), Quality Score 68/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NTB calculated?
We run Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $51.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $58.11. Our model-based fair value is $51.97, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd right now?
For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) come from?
Earnings per share at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd grew +10.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.8 %, EBIT margin +4.0 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The market capitalisation of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 2.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Earnings per share at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd are $5.77 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The dividend yield of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 3.3% (payout 33.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The net margin of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 29.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 22.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
The operating margin of Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is 42.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Revenue at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB)?
Earnings per share at Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd are growing +24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) hold?
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd holds more cash than debt, $1.6B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026