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Numinus Wellness Inc (NUMIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $11.9M

NW Numinus Wellness Inc logo Numinus Wellness Inc NUMIF · US
Price$0.0351
Fair Value$0.0255
Upside-27.4%
Quality27/100
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Risks

!Trades 27% ABOVE our fair value of $0.0255
!Mixed Growth
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
Mixed Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0255 – $0.0255 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −29.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0255). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.8951 $0.0060 Fair Value $0.0255 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0060 – $0.8951 · the $0.0351 price screens above the $0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Numinus Wellness Inc (NUMIF) currently trades at $0.0351, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $6.5M. Revenue grew 81.6% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -27%, NUMIF screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +81.6%
Net margin -225%
Return on equity -858%
Free cash flow −$17.5M FY2024
Operating margin -34.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0300

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Numinus Wellness Inc. provides psychedelic-assisted therapy training, lab testing, and psychotherapy services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through Clinical Research Operations and Practitioner Training segments. It also provides clinical research management services to academic institutions and biotechnology companies.

Full company description

Numinus Wellness Inc. provides psychedelic-assisted therapy training, lab testing, and psychotherapy services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through Clinical Research Operations and Practitioner Training segments. It also provides clinical research management services to academic institutions and biotechnology companies. In addition, the company engages in the provision of education and training for research and drug development organizations to support clinical trials and commercialization efforts. Numinus Wellness Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Numinus Wellness Inc reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2024 versus $881K in FY2020, a compound +47.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.6M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$4.2M
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+107.8%
Revenue +47.5%/yr
FY20 $881K
FY21 $1.5M
FY22 $6.5M
FY23 $3.8M
FY24 $4.2M
Net income
FY20 −$9.6M
FY21 −$18.8M
FY22 −$44.9M
FY23 −$30.3M
FY24 −$19.6M

NUMIF screens 27% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Numinus Wellness Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NUMIF

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on assets -32% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -35% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 82% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/B 16.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 23
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 29
HEALTH89 · sector 90
DIVIDEND0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Numinus Wellness Inc (NUMIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0255 versus a price of $0.0351, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NUMIF?
Our model-based fair value for Numinus Wellness Inc is $0.0255 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0351.
What is the quality score of NUMIF?
Numinus Wellness Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Numinus Wellness Inc (NUMIF)?
Numinus Wellness Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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