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New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of New Ulm Telecom Inc stock $2.72, price $16.00, upside -83.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN US67075V1008

NU New Ulm Telecom Inc logo Thin data Oct 19, 2026

New Ulm Telecom Inc

NUVR · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.0 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)
Fair value $2.72 · Strongly overvalued (−83.0%)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 28/100 · thin data
Thin data
Structural break
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$22.87 $7.53 Fair Value $2.72 Dec 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.53 – $22.87 · fair‑value band $1.03 – $4.42 · the $16.00 price screens above the $2.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 19, 2026.

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Company profile

Nuvera Communications, Inc. operates as a diversified communications company in the United States.

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The company offers broadband Internet access and voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) phone services; voice services to make and receive telephone calls within a defined local calling area; and network access services to other communication carriers for the use of its facilities to terminate or originate long distance calls on its fiber network, as well as ethernet services.

It also provides video services, including advanced digital TV, video-on-demand services, high-definition TV, digital video recorders (DVR), whole home DVR, and commercial TV programming; data services for business and residential customers; email and managed services comprising web hosting and design, and online file back up and file storage; directory assistance, operator service, and long-distance private lines; directory publishing, bill processing, and other customer services; and fiber-delivered communications and managed information technology solutions, as well as sells and services customer premise equipment.

In addition, the company is involved in the retail sale and service of cellular phones and accessories; provision of internet protocol television, cable television, and internet access services, including high-speed broadband access, and long-distance service; and installation and maintenance communications systems.

It serves its services through customer service call centers, its website, and commissioned sales representatives. The company was formerly known as New Ulm Telecom, Inc. and changed its name to Nuvera Communications, Inc. in June 2018.

Nuvera Communications, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in New Ulm, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR) currently trades at $16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.72, 83.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $10.01 per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the $16.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.3500, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.03 (bear) to $4.42 (bull), the price of $16.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

New Ulm Telecom Inc reported revenue of $71.8M in FY2025 versus $65.8M in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $328K in FY2025, compounding −59.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $83.4M Micro · P/E ratio 76.2 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 14.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at −83%, NUVR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.3500 to $32.40). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.03 Fair Value $2.72 Bull $4.42
Price $16.00 · Upside -83.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1680 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $11.27 $10.01 $9.29 76
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8200 $1.17 $1.53 67
Graham-Dodd $0.4200 $1.20 $1.58 65
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4200 $1.20 $1.58 65
Lynch FV $0.2400 $0.3500 $0.4500 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.2400 $0.3500 $0.4500 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.03 $1.37 $1.72 63
P/S Multiple $0.8000 $1.06 $1.33 58
P/B Multiple $24.30 $32.40 $40.50 55
EV/EBIT n/a $2.72 $10.26 61
EV/EBITDA $2.55 $12.53 $22.52 60
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $4.42 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.63 $6.20 $9.26 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.27 $10.01 $9.29 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8200 $1.17 $1.53 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 48
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 15
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 52
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 47
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 62
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 74
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−48.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 14%

NUVR screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 14.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 76.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.88× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.16× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)25 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $159.10 $272.88 +72% vs NUVR
China Mobile Limited 0941 HK$80.95 HK$126.55 +56% vs NUVR
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $44.79 $68.98 +54% vs NUVR
AT&T Inc T $23.44 $33.69 +44% vs NUVR
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.85 ¥9.40 +37% vs NUVR
Chunghwa Telecom Co CHT $47.64 $46.80 −2% vs NUVR
Telstra Group TLS A$4.74 A$4.43 −7% vs NUVR
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,905 ₹1,702 −11% vs NUVR
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 668.50 CHF 505.18 −24% vs NUVR
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.18 SGD 2.16 SGD −48% vs NUVR

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New Ulm Telecom Inc · Fair Value
$2.72 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Ulm Telecom Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NUVR

Frequently asked questions

Is New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.72 versus a price of $16.00, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NUVR?
Our model-based fair value for New Ulm Telecom Inc is $2.72 (as of Oct 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.00.
What is the quality score of NUVR?
New Ulm Telecom Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.72 (as of Oct 19, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.03, optimistic scenario $4.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Ulm Telecom Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.72, about −83% upside versus a price of $16.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.03, optimistic scenario $4.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
New Ulm Telecom Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.2M (latest available figure, as of Oct 19, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Ulm Telecom Inc it is $2.72 per share (as of Oct 19, 2026), against a price of $16.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Ulm Telecom Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 19, 2026, NUVR trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.00, fair value $2.72, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NUVR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.72). For New Ulm Telecom Inc the two are $13.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Ulm Telecom Inc worth?
The market values New Ulm Telecom Inc at about $83.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 19, 2026). Per share that is $16.00; our models calculate a fair value of $2.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NUVR?
Our models span a range for New Ulm Telecom Inc: cautious scenario $1.03, base $2.72, optimistic $4.42 per share (as of Oct 19, 2026, price $16.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NUVR?
New Ulm Telecom Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.2 (as of Oct 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.72 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 228.6 (reported for FY2025: 266.7). Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Ulm Telecom Inc (as of Oct 19, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 1.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NUVR from its 52-week high?
New Ulm Telecom Inc trades at $16.00, about 12% below its 52-week high of $18.18 and 36% above the low of $11.78 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Ulm Telecom Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Ulm Telecom Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 19, 2026: price $16.00, calculated fair value $2.72 (−83%), Quality Score 42/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NUVR calculated?
We run New Ulm Telecom Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. New Ulm Telecom Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $16.00. Our model-based fair value is $2.72, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Ulm Telecom Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($1.03 to $4.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of New Ulm Telecom Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The market capitalisation of New Ulm Telecom Inc is $83.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Ulm Telecom Inc is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Earnings per share at New Ulm Telecom Inc are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The net margin of New Ulm Telecom Inc is 1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Ulm Telecom Inc is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Ulm Telecom Inc is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
The operating margin of New Ulm Telecom Inc is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Revenue at New Ulm Telecom Inc is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR)?
Earnings per share at New Ulm Telecom Inc are growing +52.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR) generate?
The free cash flow of New Ulm Telecom Inc is −$14.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does New Ulm Telecom Inc (NUVR) carry?
The net debt of New Ulm Telecom Inc is $144M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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