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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of NVIDIA Corporation THB 33.24, price THB 38.50, upside -13.7%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · TH · ISIN US67066G1040

NC Thin data Sep 29, 2026

NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA80 · BK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality growthQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 33.24 THB · Overvalued (−13.7%)
✓Quality 73/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +100.0 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 63.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.1% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 98/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

38.50 THB 18.68 THB Fair Value 33.24 THB May 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range 18.68 THB – 38.50 THB · fair‑value band 14.26 THB – 41.56 THB · the 38.50 THB price screens above the 33.24 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments.

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NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. It sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, and other ecosystem participants. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Stock analysis

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80) currently trades at 38.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.24 THB, 13.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 42.06 THB per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the 38.50 THB price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 8.23 THB, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 14.26 THB (bear) to 41.56 THB (bull), the price of 38.50 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

NVIDIA Corporation reported revenue of $216B in FY2026 versus $27.0B in FY2023, a compound +100.0%/yr. Reported net income was $120B in FY2026, compounding +201.8%/yr from FY2023. FY2023 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 160T THB (≈ $4.8T) · P/E ratio 35.3 · P/S ratio 19.6 · EPS (TTM) 1.09 THB · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 55.6% · Return on equity 114% · Return on assets (EBIT) 49.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 87 out of 100 (high confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −14%, NVDA80 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 14.26 THB Fair Value 33.24 THB Bull 41.56 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7019 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 7.16 THB 8.42 THB 9.54 THB 71
FCF DCF 12.01 THB 19.36 THB 43.38 THB 69
Growth DCF 11.33 THB 23.58 THB 44.16 THB 69
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.01 THB 19.36 THB 43.38 THB 69
Owner Earnings 13.53 THB 31.66 THB 71.44 THB 65
5Y Revenue Exit 7.49 THB 12.49 THB 22.91 THB 65
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.79 THB 23.20 THB 43.65 THB 66
5Y P/E Exit 16.66 THB 39.03 THB 69.82 THB 62
10Y Revenue Exit 8.67 THB 17.96 THB 23.54 THB 62
10Y EBITDA Exit 12.87 THB 29.63 THB 59.18 THB 59
10Y P/E Exit 15.76 THB 38.17 THB 75.77 THB 55
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.66 THB 39.47 THB 55.39 THB 59
Lynch FV 20.39 THB 29.13 THB 37.87 THB 57
PEG = 1.0 20.39 THB 29.13 THB 37.87 THB 53
EPV 7.16 THB 8.42 THB 9.54 THB 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 17.48 THB 23.30 THB 29.13 THB 63
P/S Multiple 6.17 THB 8.23 THB 10.29 THB 58
P/B Multiple 4.91 THB 6.54 THB 8.18 THB 55
EV/EBIT 16.29 THB 21.71 THB 27.14 THB 66
EV/EBITDA 12.49 THB 16.65 THB 20.80 THB 67
EV/Revenue 5.26 THB 7.51 THB 9.75 THB 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5500 THB 0.7300 THB 1.09 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.33 THB 23.58 THB 44.16 THB 69
Rev-Margin DCF 8.24 THB 14.30 THB 27.00 THB 64
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4.58 THB 8.61 THB 28.54 THB 59
ROIC Compounder 8.68 THB 12.57 THB 17.67 THB 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 29.45 THB 42.06 THB 54.68 THB 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 96
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+65.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+100.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +92.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+92.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 60%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2026, which sits 309% above its own trend.

NVDA80 screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 329 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 114.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 52.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 63.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 65.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 85.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 30.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 18.86× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 49.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 28.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.53× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $459.20 $505.12 +10%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $351.19 $303.10 −14%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $1,054 $151.51 −86%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $611.76 $122.60 −80%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,833,000 KRW 2,016,300 KRW +10%
Intel Corporation INTC $115.93 $33.67 −71%
Arm Holdings ARM $310.32 $44.44 −86%
MediaTek Inc 2454 5,285 TWD 3,142 TWD −41%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $280.09 $81.75 −71%
Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL $251.90 $101.64 −60%

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NVIDIA Corporation · Fair Value
33.24 THB −14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NVIDIA Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NVDA80

Frequently asked questions

Is NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.24 THB versus a price of 38.50 THB, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NVDA80?
Our model-based fair value for NVIDIA Corporation is 33.24 THB (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 38.50 THB.
What is the quality score of NVDA80?
NVIDIA Corporation has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.24 THB (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.26 THB, optimistic scenario 41.56 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NVIDIA Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.24 THB, about −14% upside versus a price of 38.50 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.26 THB, optimistic scenario 41.56 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
NVIDIA Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $253B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does NVIDIA Corporation pay a dividend?
NVIDIA Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NVIDIA Corporation it is 33.24 THB per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of 38.50 THB. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NVIDIA Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, NVDA80 trades above its calculated fair value: price 38.50 THB, fair value 33.24 THB, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NVDA80?
No. The price is what the market pays today (38.50 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.24 THB). For NVIDIA Corporation the two are 5.26 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NVIDIA Corporation worth?
The market values NVIDIA Corporation at about 160T THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is 38.50 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 33.24 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NVDA80?
Our models span a range for NVIDIA Corporation: cautious scenario 14.26 THB, base 33.24 THB, optimistic 41.56 THB per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price 38.50 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NVDA80?
NVIDIA Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.3 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 33.24 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 30.4, P/S 18.9, EV/EBITDA 28.9.
What is the PEG ratio of NVDA80?
The PEG ratio of NVIDIA Corporation is 0.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Balance-sheet figures for NVIDIA Corporation (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 114.3%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NVDA80 from its 52-week high?
NVIDIA Corporation trades at 38.50 THB, at its 52-week high of 38.50 THB and 43% above the low of 26.97 THB (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.24 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NVIDIA Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NVIDIA Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price 38.50 THB, calculated fair value 33.24 THB (−14%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NVDA80 calculated?
We run NVIDIA Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.24 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NVIDIA Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 38.50 THB. Our model-based fair value is 33.24 THB, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NVIDIA Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide (14.26 THB to 41.56 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of NVIDIA Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The market capitalisation of NVIDIA Corporation is 160T THB (≈ $4.8T). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NVIDIA Corporation is 19.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Earnings per share at NVIDIA Corporation are 1.09 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The dividend yield of NVIDIA Corporation is 0.1% (payout 3.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The net margin of NVIDIA Corporation is 55.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NVIDIA Corporation is 114% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NVIDIA Corporation is 49.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
The operating margin of NVIDIA Corporation is 65.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Revenue at NVIDIA Corporation is growing +85.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +100%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80)?
Earnings per share at NVIDIA Corporation are growing +215% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80) generate?
The free cash flow of NVIDIA Corporation is $96.7B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA80) carry?
The net debt of NVIDIA Corporation is $2.4B (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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