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NUVVE HOLDING CORP. (NVVE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $729K

NH NUVVE HOLDING CORP. logo NUVVE HOLDING CORP. NVVE · US
Price$1.26
Fair Value$0.6200
Upside-50.8%
Quality37/100
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Risks

!Trades 51% ABOVE our fair value of $0.6200
!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.5800 – $0.6900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −82.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,000,000 $0.9389 Fair Value $0.6200 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9389 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.5800 – $0.6900 · the $1.26 price screens above the $0.6200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NUVVE HOLDING CORP. (NVVE) currently trades at $1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6200, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $4.8M. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5800 (bear case) to $0.6900 (bull case); at $1.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -51%, NVVE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.5200 $0.5600 $0.6100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5200 $0.6100 $0.7200 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5200 $0.5600 $0.6100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5200 $0.6100 $0.7200 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +268%
Return on equity -5,085%
Free cash flow −$16.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.0
Operating margin -607%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $1,984
Net debt $681K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nuvve Holding Corp., a green energy technology company, provides commercial vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology platform in the United States, France, Japan, and Denmark.

Full company description

Nuvve Holding Corp., a green energy technology company, provides commercial vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology platform in the United States, France, Japan, and Denmark. The company offers Grid Integrated Vehicle platform which enables electric vehicle (EV) batteries to store and resell unused energy back to the local electric grid and provide other grid services; and allows EV owners to meet the energy demands of individual vehicles and entire fleets. Its V2G technology also links EV batteries into a virtual power plant that sells excess power to utility companies or utilizes saved power to reduce building energy peak consumption. In addition, the company offers networked charging stations, infrastructure, software, professional services, support, monitoring, and parts and labor warranties required to run electric vehicle fleets. It serves its products to owner/operators of light duty fleets, heavy duty fleets, automotive manufacturers, charge point operators, strategic partners, and other business ventures. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NUVVE HOLDING CORP. reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $2.9M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$30.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.2M
Latest YoY
−19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.1%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 $2.9M
FY22 $5.4M
FY23 $8.3M
FY24 $5.3M
FY25 $4.2M
Net income
FY21 −$27.2M
FY22 −$24.0M
FY23 −$31.3M
FY24 −$17.4M
FY25 −$30.8M

NVVE screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NUVVE HOLDING CORP. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NVVE

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -108% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 268% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 32
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND40 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$89.93 C$104.32 +16%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $839.03 $398.90 -52%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $245.15 $162.63 -34%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $531.89 $475.40 -11%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $202.66 $181.10 -11%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.00 $108.04 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥54.97 ¥40.40 -27%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.43 $35.52 -2%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 109.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -26%
Vibra Energia S.A VBBR3 R$33.04 R$36.96 +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NUVVE HOLDING CORP. (NVVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6200 versus a price of $1.26, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NVVE?
Our model-based fair value for NUVVE HOLDING CORP. is $0.6200 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.26.
What is the quality score of NVVE?
NUVVE HOLDING CORP. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NUVVE HOLDING CORP. (NVVE)?
NUVVE HOLDING CORP. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NVVE?
The net profit margin of NUVVE HOLDING CORP. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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