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Okta Inc. (O1KT34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Okta Inc. BRL 26.56, price BRL 55.31, upside -52.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · BR · Home US

OI Some data Sep 29, 2026

Okta Inc.

O1KT34 · SA

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$26.56 · Strongly overvalued (−52.0%)
✓Quality 65/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +28.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

R$78.05 R$11.38 Fair Value R$26.56 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$11.38 – R$78.05 · fair‑value band R$18.60 – R$34.54 · the R$55.31 price screens above the R$26.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Okta, Inc. operates as an identity partner in the United States and internationally.

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Okta, Inc. operates as an identity partner in the United States and internationally. It offers Single Sign-on to secure access to cloud and on-premises applications from any device; Adaptive MFA for a risk-based layer of security for an organization's cloud, mobile, and web applications; API Access Management, which enables organizations to secure APIs as systems; Access Gateway, which extends the Okta platform to hybrid IT environments; Okta Device Access, which extends Okta platform's secure access management to the device login experience; Universal Directory for a cloud-based system of record. The company also provides Identity Threat Protection; Identity Security Posture Management for security measures and safeguards digital assets; Okta for AI Agents to discover, register, authenticate, govern, and manage AI Agents; Identity Governance and Administration products, including Lifecycle Management, Okta Workflows, Okta Identity Governance, and Cross App Access; Advanced Server Access for continuous and contextual access management to secure cloud infrastructure; and Okta Privileged Access to reduce risk with unified access and governance management. In addition, it provides Universal Login, a standards-based login infrastructure; Attack Protection Suite to minimize risks associated with identity-targeted attacks; Adaptive MFA; Passwordless, which enables users to login without a password; Machine-to-Machine Tokens for authentication and authorization with NHIs; Private Cloud, a deployment option; Organizations, which support a large number of partners or customers; Extensibility, which enables customers to build customized identity flows; Fine Grained Authorization, which manages complex authorization scenarios; and Auth0 for AI Agents to secure and scale agentic applications. The company was formerly known as Saasure, Inc. Okta, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Okta Inc. (O1KT34) currently trades at R$55.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$26.56, 52.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$21.57 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$55.31 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$3.69, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$18.60 (bear) to R$34.54 (bull), the price of R$55.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Okta Inc. reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2026 versus $1.3B in FY2022, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was $235M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap R$123B (≈ $23.6B) · P/E ratio 98.6 · P/S ratio 7.93 · EPS (TTM) R$0.3600 · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.1% · Operating margin 7.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 248% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −52%, O1KT34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (R$3.69 to R$41.46). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear R$18.60 Fair Value R$26.56 Bull R$34.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.2416 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$24.27 R$37.42 R$79.29 76
5Y EBITDA Exit R$11.54 R$16.68 R$26.64 74
EPV R$3.36 R$3.69 R$3.98 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$24.27 R$37.42 R$79.29 76
Owner Earnings R$9.09 R$18.96 R$39.68 71
5Y Revenue Exit R$9.34 R$12.23 R$18.01 73
5Y EBITDA Exit R$11.54 R$16.68 R$26.64 74
5Y P/E Exit R$13.47 R$24.93 R$39.94 69
10Y Revenue Exit R$13.70 R$21.57 R$24.50 68
10Y EBITDA Exit R$15.40 R$26.30 R$43.42 66
10Y P/E Exit R$16.81 R$30.44 R$51.66 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$2.51 R$17.52 R$24.58 63
Lynch FV R$6.44 R$9.20 R$11.96 61
PEG = 1.0 R$6.44 R$9.20 R$11.96 57
EPV R$3.36 R$3.69 R$3.98 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$7.76 R$10.34 R$12.93 63
P/S Multiple R$4.71 R$6.28 R$7.85 58
P/B Multiple R$4.71 R$6.28 R$7.85 55
EV/EBIT R$5.56 R$6.97 R$8.37 66
EV/EBITDA R$6.55 R$8.28 R$10.01 67
EV/Revenue R$3.48 R$4.39 R$5.31 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.50 R$7.37 R$11.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$22.91 R$41.46 R$78.95 74
Rev-Margin DCF R$9.34 R$13.85 R$22.07 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$8.05 R$7.86 R$8.05 71
ROIC Compounder R$3.36 R$3.69 R$3.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$9.36 R$13.38 R$17.39 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−24.4% (2021) → 5.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.9% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.6%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+9.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.7%
Projected 2031 (sales)+6.7%

O1KT34 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −33.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.7% · Below median
Return on assets 1.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 98.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.40× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)56 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Okta Inc. · Fair Value
R$26.56 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Okta Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/O1KT34

Frequently asked questions

Is Okta Inc. (O1KT34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$26.56 versus a price of R$55.31, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of O1KT34?
Our model-based fair value for Okta Inc. is R$26.56 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$55.31.
What is the quality score of O1KT34?
Okta Inc. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$26.56 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$18.60, optimistic scenario R$34.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Okta Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$26.56, about −52% upside versus a price of R$55.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$18.60, optimistic scenario R$34.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Okta Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Okta Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.4 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of O1KT34 use?
Our models discount Okta Inc. at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Okta Inc. that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Okta Inc. (O1KT34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Okta Inc. grew +28.4 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Okta Inc. (O1KT34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Okta Inc. (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 45.94 %: that much free cash flow Okta Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Okta Inc. it is R$26.56 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$55.31. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Okta Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, O1KT34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$55.31, fair value R$26.56, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of O1KT34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$55.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$26.56). For Okta Inc. the two are R$28.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Okta Inc. worth?
The market values Okta Inc. at about R$123B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$55.31; our models calculate a fair value of R$26.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about O1KT34?
Our models span a range for Okta Inc.: cautious scenario R$18.60, base R$26.56, optimistic R$34.54 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$55.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of O1KT34?
Okta Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 98.6 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$26.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4.
What is the PEG ratio of O1KT34?
The PEG ratio of Okta Inc. is 1.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Okta Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 3.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is O1KT34 from its 52-week high?
Okta Inc. trades at R$55.31, about 1% below its 52-week high of R$55.70 and 248% above the low of R$15.89 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$26.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Okta Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Okta Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$55.31, calculated fair value R$26.56 (−52%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of O1KT34 calculated?
We run Okta Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$26.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Okta Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$55.31. Our model-based fair value is R$26.56, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Okta Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$34.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$18.60 to R$34.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Okta Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The market capitalisation of Okta Inc. is R$123B (≈ $23.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Okta Inc. is 7.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Earnings per share at Okta Inc. are R$0.3600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The net margin of Okta Inc. is 8.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Okta Inc. is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Okta Inc. is −4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
The operating margin of Okta Inc. is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Revenue at Okta Inc. is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Okta Inc. (O1KT34)?
Earnings per share at Okta Inc. are growing +21.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Okta Inc. (O1KT34) carry?
The net debt of Okta Inc. is $449M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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