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Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited ₹8.21, price ₹57.70, upside -85.8%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited
OBCL · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹8.21 · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹22.50 – ₹348.70 · fair‑value band ₹5.42 – ₹10.26 · the ₹57.70 price screens above the ₹8.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited provides transportation and logistics services in India. The company offers full truck load transport services for local, regional, and nation-wide cargoes. It maintains own fleet contains 70 commercial vehicles, such as trucks and trailers.
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Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited provides transportation and logistics services in India. The company offers full truck load transport services for local, regional, and nation-wide cargoes. It maintains own fleet contains 70 commercial vehicles, such as trucks and trailers. It serves the metal, steel, coal, aluminum, cement, petrochemical, paper, marble, tiles, infra, textile, and FMCG industries. Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Raipur, India.
Stock analysis
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) currently trades at ₹57.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.21, implying the stock looks roughly 602.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹5.42 (bear) to ₹10.26 (bull), the price of ₹57.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited reported revenue of ₹3.5B in FY2026 versus ₹3.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −₹78.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $12.7M) · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) ₹−4.03 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −2.3% · Return on equity −8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 0.9%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −86%, OBCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹5.42
Fair Value ₹8.21
Bull ₹10.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
₹19.90
₹26.67
₹39.81
54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹19.90
₹26.67
₹39.81
54
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
41/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Profitability
41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
12/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2021) → −1.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
OBCL screens 603% overvalued. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →
Compare Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 48 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $177.31 | $174.80 | −1% |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $177.67 | $72.78 | −59% |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $125.04 | $112.10 | −10% |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $67.09 | $54.86 | −18% |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $348.38 | $129.94 | −63% |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $32.50 | $12.37 | −62% |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $131.71 | $45.89 | −65% |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $34.79 | $8.24 | −76% |
| Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 | ¥4.71 | ¥1.44 | −69% |
| Mullen Group MTL | C$26.13 | C$19.84 | −24% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹8.21 versus a price of ₹57.70, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OBCL?
Our model-based fair value for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹8.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹57.70.
What is the quality score of OBCL?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹8.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹5.42, optimistic scenario ₹10.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹8.21, about −86% upside versus a price of ₹57.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹5.42, optimistic scenario ₹10.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited pay a dividend?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited it is ₹8.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹57.70. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OBCL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹57.70, fair value ₹8.21, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹57.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹8.21). For Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited the two are ₹49.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited worth?
The market values Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited at about ₹1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹57.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹8.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBCL?
Our models span a range for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited: cautious scenario ₹5.42, base ₹8.21, optimistic ₹10.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹57.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBCL from its 52-week high?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited trades at ₹57.70, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹64.47 and 31% above the low of ₹44.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹8.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, TFI International Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹57.70, calculated fair value ₹8.21 (−86%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBCL calculated?
We run Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹8.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ₹57.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹8.21, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹5.42 to ₹10.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The market capitalisation of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹1.2B (≈ $12.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Earnings per share at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited are ₹−4.03. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The dividend yield of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The net margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −2.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The operating margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Revenue at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Earnings per share at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited are growing −36.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −₹72.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) carry?
The net debt of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹679M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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