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Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A $0.72, price $0.51, upside +41.2%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A
OBSJF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $0.7200 · Undervalued (+41.2%)
!Quality 33/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3247 – $1.10 · fair‑value band $0.6200 – $0.8700 · the $0.5100 price screens below the $0.7200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A. engages in the construction and concession businesses in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Chile, Peru, Colombia, Spain, Central and Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, and internationally. It operates through Construction, Industrial, and Other segments.
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Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A. engages in the construction and concession businesses in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Chile, Peru, Colombia, Spain, Central and Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, and internationally. It operates through Construction, Industrial, and Other segments. The company provides civil engineering and building construction services for public and private-sector customers; and designs, engineers, constructs, maintains, and operates industrial plants and systems, including oil and gas, renewable energy, mining and cement, solids engineering, and fire-fighting systems. In addition, it offers building renovation and consulting; technical advisory; IT; and management consultancy services. Further, the company engages in the installation and maintenance of security and fire protection systems; water treatment and distribution; development of a fossil fuel power plants; industrial engineering for a refinery; development and operation of hotels and leisure centres; finance, studies, and management; car park concession and operation; construction and development of real estate projects; and concession and operation of ports and marinas. The company was formerly known as Sociedad General de Obras y Construcciones Obrascón, S.A. Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A. was incorporated in 1911 and is based in Madrid, Spain.
Stock analysis
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) currently trades at $0.5100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.00 per share, and 13 of the 21 models we run sit above the $0.5100 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.2900, and 8 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.6200 (bear) to $0.8700 (bull), the price of $0.5100 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A reported revenue of €3.5B in FY2025 versus €2.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7M in FY2025, compounding −26.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $797M · P/S ratio 0.23 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) €3.4B · Revenue growth (YoY) −1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 41%, OBSJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6200
Fair Value $0.7200
Bull $0.8700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.6100
$0.7200
$0.9100
82
Growth DCF
$0.6300
$0.7300
$0.8900
80
Owner Earnings
$0.8600
$1.05
$1.36
78
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.6100
$0.7200
$0.9100
82
Owner Earnings
$0.8600
$1.05
$1.36
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.9000
$1.27
$1.80
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.20
$1.77
$2.54
75
5Y P/E Exit
$0.4200
$0.4400
$0.4600
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7500
$1.00
$1.27
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.9300
$1.29
$1.67
69
10Y P/E Exit
$0.5000
$0.5300
$0.5400
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
67
EPV
$0.8300
$0.9100
$0.9800
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0400
62
P/S Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
58
P/B Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
55
EV/EBIT
$1.58
$2.02
$2.47
66
EV/EBITDA
$1.88
$2.42
$2.96
67
EV/Revenue
$1.20
$1.61
$2.01
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.5000
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.6300
$0.7300
$0.8900
80
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.3200
$0.2900
$0.2700
71
ROIC Compounder
$0.8300
$0.9300
$1.02
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
68
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
33/100
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−36.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−36.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−36.0% vs −40.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.6% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.51 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €105.60 | €186.22 | +76% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7200 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.5100, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OBSJF?
Our model-based fair value for Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is $0.7200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.5100.
What is the quality score of OBSJF?
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7200, about +41% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.5100 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +51.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OBSJF use?
Our models discount Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A that is +51.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +51.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (+51.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.41 %: that much free cash flow Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A it is $0.7200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5100. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OBSJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5100, fair value $0.7200, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBSJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7200). For Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A the two are $0.2100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A worth?
The market values Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A at about $797M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5100; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBSJF?
Our models span a range for Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A: cautious scenario $0.6200, base $0.7200, optimistic $0.8700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBSJF from its 52-week high?
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A trades at $0.5100, about 12% below its 52-week high of $0.5763 and 20% above the low of $0.4253 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5100, calculated fair value $0.7200 (+41%), Quality Score 33/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBSJF calculated?
We run Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.5100. Our model-based fair value is $0.7200, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The market capitalisation of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is $797M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The net margin of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
The operating margin of Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Revenue at Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF)?
Earnings per share at Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A are growing +128% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A (OBSJF) hold?
Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A holds more cash than debt, €214M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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