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Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd $2.09, price $1.73, upside +21.0%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG6796W1078

OC Oriental Culture Holding Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Oriental Culture Holding Ltd

OCG · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $2.09 · Undervalued (+21.0%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −35.9 %/yr)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$17,646 $1.45 Fair Value $2.09 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.45 – $17,646 · fair‑value band $2.07 – $2.12 · the $1.73 price screens below the $2.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Oriental Culture Holding LTD, through its subsidiaries, operates an online platform to facilitate the e-commerce trading of artwork and collectables in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company facilitates trading by individual and institutional customers of various collectibles, artworks, and commodities on its online platforms.

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Oriental Culture Holding LTD, through its subsidiaries, operates an online platform to facilitate the e-commerce trading of artwork and collectables in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company facilitates trading by individual and institutional customers of various collectibles, artworks, and commodities on its online platforms. It also offers online and offline integrated marketing, storage, and technical maintenance services. In addition, the company provides industry solutions and related software products, and system development and technical support services. Further, it engages in developing Wine and Spirits metaverse project. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG) currently trades at $1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.09, implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $19.20 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $1.73 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $17.19, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.07 (bear) to $2.12 (bull), the price of $1.73 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Oriental Culture Holding Ltd reported revenue of $1.9M in FY2025 versus $37.6M in FY2021, a compound −52.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.6M · P/S ratio 1.89 · EPS (TTM) $−25.90 · Net margin −204% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 38.4% · Revenue (TTM) $1.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 21%, OCG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.07 Fair Value $2.09 Bull $2.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $20.09 $21.34 $23.58 80
Growth DCF $20.24 $21.44 $23.43 77
5Y Revenue Exit $18.24 $18.48 $18.82 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.09 $21.34 $23.58 80
5Y Revenue Exit $18.24 $18.48 $18.82 71
10Y Revenue Exit $18.96 $19.20 $19.42 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue $17.04 $17.19 $17.35 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.67 $22.34 $33.35 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.24 $21.44 $23.43 77
Rev-Margin DCF $18.24 $18.56 $19.00 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 10/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−52.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2020) → −203.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Retail · 101 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +30.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 896.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)61 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 64
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $249.15 $127.33 −49%
Alibaba Group BABA $107.54 $66.62 −38%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,725 $1,897 +10%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $178.39 $196.23 +10%
Sea Limited SE $95.27 $129.32 +36%
eBay Inc EBAY $107.32 $118.05 +10%
JD.com, Inc JD $26.30 $33.32 +27%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $13.88 $4.96 −64%
Wayfair Inc W $102.56 $34.72 −66%
Allegro.eu S.A ALE 49.56 PLN 54.51 PLN +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Culture Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCG

Frequently asked questions

Is Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.09 versus a price of $1.73, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OCG?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is $2.09 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.73.
What is the quality score of OCG?
Oriental Culture Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.09 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.07, optimistic scenario $2.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oriental Culture Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.09, about +21% upside versus a price of $1.73 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.07, optimistic scenario $2.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Oriental Culture Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oriental Culture Holding Ltd it is $2.09 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $1.73. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oriental Culture Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OCG trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.73, fair value $2.09, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.09). For Oriental Culture Holding Ltd the two are $0.3640 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oriental Culture Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Oriental Culture Holding Ltd at about $3.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.73; our models calculate a fair value of $2.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCG?
Our models span a range for Oriental Culture Holding Ltd: cautious scenario $2.07, base $2.09, optimistic $2.12 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $1.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCG from its 52-week high?
Oriental Culture Holding Ltd trades at $1.73, about 100% below its 52-week high of $6,590 and 19% above the low of $1.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oriental Culture Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Amazon.com, Inc, Alibaba Group, MercadoLibre, Inc, DoorDash, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oriental Culture Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $1.73, calculated fair value $2.09 (+21%), Quality Score 37/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OCG calculated?
We run Oriental Culture Holding Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Oriental Culture Holding Ltd currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.73. Our model-based fair value is $2.09, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oriental Culture Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The models converge in a tight band ($2.07 to $2.12), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The market capitalisation of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is $3.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is 1.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Culture Holding Ltd are $−25.90. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The net margin of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is −204% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
The operating margin of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is 38.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Revenue at Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is growing +896% versus a year earlier (3y avg −52.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Culture Holding Ltd are growing −45.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG) generate?
The free cash flow of Oriental Culture Holding Ltd is $77.1K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Oriental Culture Holding Ltd (OCG) hold?
Oriental Culture Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, $32.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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