Oriental Culture Holding (OCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.6M

Below-average quality, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.85). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The models converge in a tight band ($1.85 to $1.88), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.45 – $19,699 · fair‑value band $1.85 – $1.88 · the $1.66 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Oriental Culture Holding (OCG) currently trades at $1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.9M. It earns a return on equity of -6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $32.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.85 (bear case) to $1.88 (bull case); at $1.66, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 12%, OCG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($22.34) versus Growth DCF ($17.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Oriental Culture Holding LTD, through its subsidiaries, operates an online platform to facilitate the e-commerce trading of artwork and collectables in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company facilitates trading by individual and institutional customers of various collectibles, artworks, and commodities on its online platforms.

Full company description

Oriental Culture Holding LTD, through its subsidiaries, operates an online platform to facilitate the e-commerce trading of artwork and collectables in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company facilitates trading by individual and institutional customers of various collectibles, artworks, and commodities on its online platforms. It also offers online and offline integrated marketing, storage, and technical maintenance services. In addition, the company provides industry solutions and related software products, and system development and technical support services. Further, it engages in developing Wine and Spirits metaverse project. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oriental Culture Holding reported revenue of $1.9M in FY2025 versus $37.6M in FY2021, a compound −52.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.9M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Internet Retail · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.