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Delivery Hero SE (DHER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Delivery Hero SE is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · DE · ISIN DE000A2E4K43

DH Some data Sep 18, 2026

Delivery Hero SE

DHER · XETRA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €12.71 · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +41.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.6% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€132.10 €15.28 Fair Value €12.71 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €15.28 – €132.10 · fair‑value band €7.46 – €17.95 · the €36.80 price screens above the €12.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Delivery Hero SE provides online food ordering, quick commerce, and delivery services. The company also offers advertising services. It operates in approximately 70 countries across Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and Latin America. Delivery Hero SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

Stock analysis

Delivery Hero SE (DHER) currently trades at €36.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.71, implying the stock looks roughly 189.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €14.68 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the €36.80 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.86, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €7.46 (bear) to €17.95 (bull), the price of €36.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Delivery Hero SE reported revenue of €14.1B in FY2025 versus €5.9B in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€783M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €11.0B · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) €−2.62 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −5.6% · Return on equity −31.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.7% · Operating margin 1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 149% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −65%, DHER screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €7.46 Fair Value €12.71 Bull €17.95
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA €9.43 €14.68 €19.92 66
Gordon GGM €1.63 €3.39 €5.38 64
DDM Multi-Stage €1.63 €2.86 €3.56 64
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.63 €3.39 €5.38 64
DDM Multi-Stage €1.63 €2.86 €3.56 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a €0.0200 61
EV/EBITDA €9.43 €14.68 €19.92 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.70 €3.62 €5.40 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.6%
Revenue growth 12 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.4%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−26.1% (2020) → 0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DHER screens 190% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →

Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Retail · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.46× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 50.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $248.42 $127.67 −49%
Alibaba Group 89988 HK$92.00 HK$45.67 −50%
PDD Holdings PDD $78.08 $298.09 +282%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,829 $2,012 +10%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $198.26 $203.66 +3%
Sea Limited SE $103.50 $129.32 +25%
JD.com, Inc 89618 ¥90.85 ¥70.41 −22%
eBay Inc EBAY $108.03 $118.83 +10%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $14.40 $4.06 −72%
Wayfair Inc W $103.24 $34.24 −67%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delivery Hero SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DHER

Frequently asked questions

Is Delivery Hero SE (DHER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.71 versus a price of €36.80, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DHER?
Our model-based fair value for Delivery Hero SE is €12.71 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €36.80.
What is the quality score of DHER?
Delivery Hero SE has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.71 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario €7.46, optimistic scenario €17.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Delivery Hero SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.71, about −65% upside versus a price of €36.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €7.46, optimistic scenario €17.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Delivery Hero SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €14.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Delivery Hero SE pay a dividend?
Delivery Hero SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Delivery Hero SE it is €12.71 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of €36.80. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Delivery Hero SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, DHER trades above its calculated fair value: price €36.80, fair value €12.71, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DHER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€36.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.71). For Delivery Hero SE the two are €24.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Delivery Hero SE worth?
The market values Delivery Hero SE at about €11.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is €36.80; our models calculate a fair value of €12.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DHER?
Our models span a range for Delivery Hero SE: cautious scenario €7.46, base €12.71, optimistic €17.95 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price €36.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Delivery Hero SE (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity −31.0%, debt of 2.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DHER from its 52-week high?
Delivery Hero SE trades at €36.80, about 7% below its 52-week high of €39.41 and 149% above the low of €14.80 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Delivery Hero SE?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Amazon.com, Inc, Alibaba Group, PDD Holdings, MercadoLibre, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Delivery Hero SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price €36.80, calculated fair value €12.71 (−65%), Quality Score 36/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DHER calculated?
We run Delivery Hero SE through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Delivery Hero SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €36.80. Our model-based fair value is €12.71, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Delivery Hero SE right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€17.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (€7.46 to €17.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Delivery Hero SE

How large is the market capitalisation of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The market capitalisation of Delivery Hero SE is €11.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Delivery Hero SE is 0.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Earnings per share at Delivery Hero SE are €−2.62. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The dividend yield of Delivery Hero SE is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The net margin of Delivery Hero SE is −5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Delivery Hero SE is −31.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Delivery Hero SE is −6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
The operating margin of Delivery Hero SE is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Revenue at Delivery Hero SE is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Earnings per share at Delivery Hero SE are growing +380% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Delivery Hero SE (DHER) generate?
The free cash flow of Delivery Hero SE is −€260M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Delivery Hero SE (DHER) carry?
The net debt of Delivery Hero SE is €2.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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