Octava Minerals Limited (OCT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$2.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −24.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0153). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range A$0.0190 – A$0.2550 · the A$0.0190 price screens above the A$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Octava Minerals Limited (OCT) currently trades at A$0.0190, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 48.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -11%, OCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Octava Minerals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for copper, zinc, silver, lithium, antimony, nickel, rare earth elements (REE), and platinum group elements (PGM) deposits. The company was formerly known as 8 AU limited and changed its name to Octava Minerals Limited in February 2022.
Full company description
Octava Minerals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for copper, zinc, silver, lithium, antimony, nickel, rare earth elements (REE), and platinum group elements (PGM) deposits. The company was formerly known as 8 AU limited and changed its name to Octava Minerals Limited in February 2022. Octava Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Nedlands, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Octava Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$1.5K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$2.4M in FY2025.
OCT screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 558.30 MXN | -4% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $14.52 | $8.15 | -44% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $29.82 | $29.96 | +0% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $8.12 | $9.90 | +22% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$24.78 | C$18.48 | -25% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$32.98 | C$21.86 | -34% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $28.10 | $16.03 | -43% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.01 | ¥13.23 | -37% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$26.10 | C$5.85 | -78% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥13.15 | ¥2.84 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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