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Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Octava Minerals Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.02, that is 7.2% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000229049

OM Octava Minerals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Octava Minerals Ltd

OCT · AU
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value A$0.0139 · Fairly valued
Revenue last quarter 48% below a year ago.
Quality 27/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −99.3 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2550 A$0.0150 Fair Value A$0.0139 Sep 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.2550 · fair‑value band A$0.0136 – A$0.0142 · the A$0.0150 price screens above the A$0.0139 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Octava Minerals Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for copper, zinc, silver, lithium, antimony, nickel, rare earth elements (REE), and platinum group elements (PGM) deposits.

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The company was formerly known as 8 AU limited and changed its name to Octava Minerals Limited in February 2022. Octava Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Nedlands, Australia.

Stock analysis

Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our estimate is A$0.0139, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.8%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0136 (bear) to A$0.0142 (bull), the price of A$0.0150 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Octava Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$1.5K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$2.2M (≈ $1.6M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −78.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −128% (5-year average) · Operating margin 20,404% · Revenue (TTM) −A$10.2K · Revenue growth (YoY) −48.4% · Free cash flow −A$2.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −7%, OCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0136 Fair Value A$0.0139 Bull A$0.0142
Price A$0.0150 · Downside -7.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 85
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 6
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −7.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −87.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −48.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.53× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.89 $13.92 +41% vs OCT
Hecla Mining Company HL $15.41 $16.21 +5% vs OCT
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.97 $32.54 −1% vs OCT
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $28.90 $26.98 −7% vs OCT
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹426.80 ₹338.90 −21% vs OCT
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.98 ¥13.23 −22% vs OCT
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $21.16 $15.34 −28% vs OCT
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.26 C$15.00 −53% vs OCT
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.61 C$15.63 −62% vs OCT
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,730 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs OCT

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Octava Minerals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Octava Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCT

Frequently asked questions

Is Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0139 versus a price of A$0.0150, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OCT?
Our estimate for Octava Minerals Ltd is A$0.0139 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0150.
What is the quality score of OCT?
Octava Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0139 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0136, optimistic scenario A$0.0142. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Octava Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0139, about 7% lower versus a price of A$0.0150 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0136, optimistic scenario A$0.0142. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Octava Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0139 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0150.
Is Octava Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, OCT trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0150, fair value A$0.0139, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0139). For Octava Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0011 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Octava Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Octava Minerals Ltd at about A$2.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0150; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0139 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCT?
Our models span a range for Octava Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0136, base A$0.0139, optimistic A$0.0142 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Octava Minerals Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −78.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCT from its 52-week high?
Octava Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0150, about 81% below its 52-week high of A$0.0810 and at the low of A$0.0150 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0139 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Octava Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Octava Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0150, calculated fair value A$0.0139 (−7%), Quality Score 27/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Octava Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.0150. Our estimate is A$0.0139, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Octava Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0142). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0136 to A$0.0142), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Octava Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
The market capitalisation of Octava Minerals Ltd is A$2.2M (≈ $1.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
Earnings per share at Octava Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Octava Minerals Ltd is −78.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Octava Minerals Ltd is −128% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
The operating margin of Octava Minerals Ltd is 20,404% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) generate?
Octava Minerals Ltd generates revenue of −A$10.2K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT)?
Revenue at Octava Minerals Ltd is growing −48.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) generate?
The free cash flow of Octava Minerals Ltd is −A$2.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Octava Minerals Ltd (OCT) hold?
Octava Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$356K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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